| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 21.09.11 23:04l 221 Lines 7347 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : L9LOK0NAG00O
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110921/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 21 Sep 2011 22:02:33 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1316641374-03b348676dc14320001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 21 Sep 2011 22:02:26.0398 (UTC) FILETIME=[25FC7FE0:01CC78AA]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.223
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.75200Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1316641374
----boundary_553262_9f1b699f-5401-4579-8470-1b240491e62c
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Sep 21 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 264 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Sep 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 20/2100Z
to 21/2100Z: Solar activity was moderate. An M1 flare was observed
at 21/1223Z from Region 1301 (N20E41). Regions 1295 (N22W47) and
1301 showed increases in area and produced occasional C-class flares
during the period. Three CMEs were observed towards the NE quadrant,
none of which are expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for isolated M-class flares from Regions 1295 and 1301
during the period (22-24 September).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels at mid-latitudes, with
isolated unsettled to active levels at high-latitudes.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels during the period
(22-24 September).
III. Event Probabilities 22 Sep-24 Sep
Class M 45/45/45
Class X 10/10/10
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 21 Sep 144
Predicted 22 Sep-24 Sep 144/144/140
90 Day Mean 21 Sep 104
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Sep 006/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Sep 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Sep-24 Sep 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Sep-24 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_553262_9f1b699f-5401-4579-8470-1b240491e62c
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64
PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u
YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250
ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+
OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl
ZDogMjAxMSBTZXAgMjEgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T
LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u
IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl
cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMjY0
IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAyMSBTZXAgMjAxMQ0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh
ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMjAvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDIxLzIx
MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIG1vZGVyYXRlLiBBbiBNMSBmbGFyZSB3YXMgb2Jz
ZXJ2ZWQNCmF0IDIxLzEyMjNaIGZyb20gUmVnaW9uIDEzMDEgKE4yMEU0MSkuIFJlZ2lvbnMg
MTI5NSAoTjIyVzQ3KSBhbmQNCjEzMDEgc2hvd2VkIGluY3JlYXNlcyBpbiBhcmVhIGFuZCBw
cm9kdWNlZCBvY2Nhc2lvbmFsIEMtY2xhc3MgZmxhcmVzDQpkdXJpbmcgdGhlIHBlcmlvZC4g
VGhyZWUgQ01FcyB3ZXJlIG9ic2VydmVkIHRvd2FyZHMgdGhlIE5FIHF1YWRyYW50LA0Kbm9u
ZSBvZiB3aGljaCBhcmUgZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gYmUgZ2VvZWZmZWN0aXZlLg0KSUIuICBTb2xh
ciBBY3Rpdml0eSBGb3JlY2FzdDogIFNvbGFyIGFjdGl2aXR5IGlzIGV4cGVjdGVkIHRvIGJl
IGxvdw0Kd2l0aCBhIGNoYW5jZSBmb3IgaXNvbGF0ZWQgTS1jbGFzcyBmbGFyZXMgZnJvbSBS
ZWdpb25zIDEyOTUgYW5kIDEzMDENCmR1cmluZyB0aGUgcGVyaW9kICgyMi0yNCBTZXB0ZW1i
ZXIpLg0KSUlBLiAgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkgU3VtbWFyeSAyMC8yMTAwWiB0byAy
MS8yMTAwWjoNClRoZSBnZW9tYWduZXRpYyBmaWVsZCB3YXMgYXQgcXVpZXQgbGV2ZWxzIGF0
IG1pZC1sYXRpdHVkZXMsIHdpdGgNCmlzb2xhdGVkIHVuc2V0dGxlZCB0byBhY3RpdmUgbGV2
ZWxzIGF0IGhpZ2gtbGF0aXR1ZGVzLg0KSUlCLiAgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkgRm9y
ZWNhc3Q6ICBUaGUgZ2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgZmllbGQgaXMNCmV4cGVjdGVkIHRvIGJlIGF0IHBy
ZWRvbWluYW50bHkgcXVpZXQgbGV2ZWxzIGR1cmluZyB0aGUgcGVyaW9kDQooMjItMjQgU2Vw
dGVtYmVyKS4NCklJSS4gIEV2ZW50IFByb2JhYmlsaXRpZXMgMjIgU2VwLTI0IFNlcA0KQ2xh
c3MgTSAgICA0NS80NS80NQ0KQ2xhc3MgWCAgICAxMC8xMC8xMA0KUHJvdG9uICAgICAwMS8w
MS8wMQ0KUENBRiAgICAgICBncmVlbg0KSVYuICBQZW50aWN0b24gMTAuNyBjbSBGbHV4DQpP
YnNlcnZlZCAgICAgICAgICAgMjEgU2VwIDE0NA0KUHJlZGljdGVkICAgMjIgU2VwLTI0IFNl
cCAgMTQ0LzE0NC8xNDANCjkwIERheSBNZWFuICAgICAgICAyMSBTZXAgMTA0DQpWLiAgR2Vv
bWFnbmV0aWMgQSBJbmRpY2VzDQpPYnNlcnZlZCBBZnIvQXAgMjAgU2VwICAwMDYvMDA2DQpF
c3RpbWF0ZWQgQWZyL0FwIDIxIFNlcCAgMDA0LzAwNQ0KUHJlZGljdGVkIEFmci9BcCAyMiBT
ZXAtMjQgU2VwICAwMDUvMDA1LTAwNS8wMDUtMDA1LzAwNQ0KVkkuICBHZW9tYWduZXRpYyBB
Y3Rpdml0eSBQcm9iYWJpbGl0aWVzIDIyIFNlcC0yNCBTZXANCkEuICBNaWRkbGUgTGF0aXR1
ZGVzDQpBY3RpdmUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgMDUvMDUvMDUNCk1pbm9yIHN0b3JtICAgICAg
ICAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KTWFqb3Itc2V2ZXJlIHN0b3JtICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQpCLiAgSGln
aCBMYXRpdHVkZXMNCkFjdGl2ZSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAxMC8xMC8xMA0KTWlub3Igc3Rv
cm0gICAgICAgICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQpNYWpvci1zZXZlcmUgc3Rvcm0gICAgMDEvMDEvMDEN
CjwvUFJFPjxCUj48SFI+VGhhbmsgeW91IGZvciB1c2luZyB0aGUgUHJvZHVjdCBTdWJzY3Jp
cHRpb24gU2VydmljZS4gSWYgeW91IHdvdWxkIGxpa2UgdG8gcmVtb3ZlIGEgcHJvZHVjdCBz
dWJzY3JpcHRpb24gb3IgdXBkYXRlIHRoZSBwZXJzb25hbCBpbmZvcm1hdGlvbiBpbiB5b3Vy
IGFjY291bnQsIGdvIHRvIHRoZSA8YSBocmVmPSJodHRwczovL3Bzcy5zd3BjLm5vYWEuZ292
Ij5Qcm9kdWN0IFN1YnNjcmlwdGlvbiBTaXRlLjwvYT4gUGxlYXNlIGRvIG5vdCB1c2UgdGhl
IGZyb20gYWRkcmVzcyBmb3IgY29ycmVzcG9uZGVuY2UsIGFzIGl0IGlzIG5vdCBtb25pdG9y
ZWQuIEZvciBjb21tZW50cyBvciBoZWxwLCBwbGVhc2UgY29udGFjdCA8YSBocmVmPSJtYWls
dG86cHNzLmhlbHBAbm9hYS5nb3YiPlNXUEMgSGVscC48L2E+PC9CT0RZPjwvSFRNTD4----boundary_553262_9f1b699f-5401-4579-8470-1b240491e62c--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
