| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 18.09.11 14:55l 129 Lines 5081 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : I9LOK0NAG00E
Read: GUEST
Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0NAG
Sent: 110918/1254z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: Sun, 18 Sep 2011 12:52:47 GMT
Reply-to: sidctech@oma.be
X-barracuda-spam-score: 0.00
X-asg-debug-id: 1316349280-03b348676dafe950001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=0.00 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.571
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.74879Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
X-asg-orig-subj: GEOALERT SIDC
Precedence: special-delivery
X-authentication-warning: titus.oma.be: sidc set sender to sidctech@oma.be using -f
X-barracuda-start-time: 1316349280
:Issued: 2011 Sep 18 1251 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU261
UGEOA 30512 10918 1222/ 9930/
11182 20182 30182
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 18 Sep 2011 until 20 Sep
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 147 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 145 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Sep 2011 10CM FLUX: 145 / AP: 003
COMMENT: Among eight reported sunspot groups, NOAA ARs 1290, 1295 and
1296 (Catania numbers 62, 72, and 74, respectively) are likely to
produce C-class flares. Catania sunspot group 72 (NOAA AR 1295) situated
close to the central meridian has produced a C3.8 flare peaking at 10:57
UT today. The flare was accompanied by coronal dimmings indicating an
eruption of a CME. At the moment of writing, no SOHO/LASCO data is
available to confirm the eruption of an Earth-directed CME. An
unreported sunspot group rapidly emerged yesterday around N20W30, and
another unreported group appeared from behind the north-east limb (NOAA
AR 1277 during the previous rotation). The latter active region has
already produced two weak C-class flares today. We expect continuing
flaring activity at the C-level, with an M-flare possible but unlikely.
The Earth is currently inside the trailing part of the ICME
corresponding to the halo CME on September 13. The solar wind speed is
now around 460 km/s, the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude
is around 5 nT. The north-south IMF component Bz is southward, but weak
(around -2 nT), so we expect quiet geomagnetic conditions.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 097, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10918 1222/ 17///
1//// 21450 3032/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10918 1222/ 16/07 18111
10061 2//// 3//// 474// 50340 60005 44823 01000
10062 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60004 35513 17100
10067 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60002 45317 00000
10070 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60006 31815 00000
10071 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60003 10809 00000
10072 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50190 60016 12723 16100
10073 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60007 13417 01000
10074 2//// 3//// 4331/ 50120 60010 13727 15100
10075 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60005 36617 00000
10076 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50030 60006 47023 00000
10077 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60010 22418 01000
99999
USSPS 32404 17075 12732 69027 45723 4/805 70003 37413 01204 72001
40710 1/801 76020 11522 34417 77001 33516 1/801 78013 13026 51309
80011 11914 21504 82003 20821 21406
USSPS 21305 17165 15142 82042 45821 41304 83006 37813 01203 89041
11123 47431 91019 12225 21409 93007 11616 01211 94010 20520 01218
96003 42624 11305
USSPS 81202 18037 14722 59036 46623 41407 74007 43324 21309 68039
40422 47429 72004 10716 11310 69013 11825 21413 73014 10220 34419
UMAGF 30503 10918 1004/ 17069 1/050 24555 34321
UMAGF 31523 10918 ///// 1700/ 1/032 20245 35554
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
# Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 #
# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 #
# #
# For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/xut. #
# Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments #
# and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use #
# that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. #
# To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
