| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 12.09.11 23:04l 243 Lines 8030 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : C9LOK0NAG00P
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110912/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 12 Sep 2011 22:02:33 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1315863850-03b348676d9a6140001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 12 Sep 2011 22:02:30.0877 (UTC) FILETIME=[AAF030D0:01CC7197]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.228
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.74344Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.00 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE_2 RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1315863850
----boundary_379698_77b6f82a-5da9-4be3-ae71-b25f420c6cc8
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Sep 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 255 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Sep 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z: Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours. Region
1292 (N08E52) produced two C-class flares, the largest a C2 at
12/0329Z. Regions 1293 (N17W11), 1294 (S18E27), and 1295 (N21E72)
were numbered today. Region 1295 produced a C9 at 12/2054Z. The
region is considered an H-type group but is still rotating around
the limb.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for isolated M-class events for the next three days
(13-15 September).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been unsettled to active during the past 24
hours due to effects from a favorably positioned coronal hole high
speed stream (CH HSS). The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
days one and two (13-14 September) due to effects from a CH HSS.
Mostly quiet conditions are expected on day three (15 September) as
CH HSS effects subside.
III. Event Probabilities 13 Sep-15 Sep
Class M 30/30/30
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 12 Sep 124
Predicted 13 Sep-15 Sep 120/120/115
90 Day Mean 12 Sep 100
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Sep 008/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Sep 018/028
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Sep-15 Sep 010/012-008/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Sep-15 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/05
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_379698_77b6f82a-5da9-4be3-ae71-b25f420c6cc8
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_379698_77b6f82a-5da9-4be3-ae71-b25f420c6cc8--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
