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OK0NAG > SOLAR 31.08.11 00:06l 225 Lines 7285 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 30 Aug 2011 22:05:15 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Aug 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 242 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Aug 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1274 (N19W59) produced
occasional B- and C-class flares as it developed from a plage region
to a six-spot Bxo group. The largest of these was a C1/Sf at
30/0312Z. Three new regions were numbered: 1282 (N24E01), 1283
(N12E71) and 1284 (S19W57); all of which were small and
simply-structured. There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed during
the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
through the period (31 August - 02 September).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels with unsettled
periods observed at high latitudes.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels through the period (31 August
- 02 September).
III. Event Probabilities 31 Aug-02 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 Aug 101
Predicted 31 Aug-02 Sep 100/100/095
90 Day Mean 30 Aug 097
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Aug 007/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Aug 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Aug-02 Sep 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Aug-02 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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