| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 27.08.11 00:06l 253 Lines 8395 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : Q8LOK0NAG00O
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110826/2205z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 26 Aug 2011 22:05:18 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1314395354-03b348676d664d30001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 26 Aug 2011 22:05:20.0453 (UTC) FILETIME=[3EFDAF50:01CC643C]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.237
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.72918Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1314395354
----boundary_31087_b5a41552-4585-459e-bea3-75b48550244f
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Aug 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 238 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Aug 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was at low levels. Region 1271 (N17W69)
produced two C-class events during the period, the largest a C2
x-ray event at 26/1313Z. The region continued to exhibit decay in
spot count, area and magnetic complexity. Other activity consisted
of a B9 x-ray event from Region 1279 (N13E61), observed at 26/1333Z.
New Region 1280 (N17E24) emerged on the disk as a simple bi-polar
spot group. The remainder of the regions were quiet and stable.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days (27 - 29 August). A slight chance for
M-class activity exists on days one and two from Region 1271 before
the region rotates around the west limb on 28 August.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Observations from the ACE spacecraft
indicated steady conditions with wind speeds averaging about 400
km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for day one (27 August). By day
two (28 August), activity levels are expected to increase to quiet
to unsettled, with isolated active periods, due to a geoeffective,
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. The conditions are
expected to persist through day three (29 August).
III. Event Probabilities 27 Aug-29 Aug
Class M 10/05/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Aug 105
Predicted 27 Aug-29 Aug 105/100/100
90 Day Mean 26 Aug 097
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Aug 004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Aug 002/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug 005/005-007/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Aug-29 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/20/20
Minor storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/30/25
Minor storm 01/15/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_31087_b5a41552-4585-459e-bea3-75b48550244f
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64
PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u
YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250
ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+
OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl
ZDogMjAxMSBBdWcgMjYgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T
LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u
IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl
cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMjM4
IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAyNiBBdWcgMjAxMQ0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh
ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMjUvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDI2LzIx
MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIGF0IGxvdyBsZXZlbHMuIFJlZ2lvbiAxMjcxIChO
MTdXNjkpDQpwcm9kdWNlZCB0d28gQy1jbGFzcyBldmVudHMgZHVyaW5nIHRoZSBwZXJpb2Qs
IHRoZSBsYXJnZXN0IGEgQzINCngtcmF5IGV2ZW50IGF0IDI2LzEzMTNaLiBUaGUgcmVnaW9u
IGNvbnRpbnVlZCB0byBleGhpYml0IGRlY2F5IGluDQpzcG90IGNvdW50LCBhcmVhIGFuZCBt
YWduZXRpYyBjb21wbGV4aXR5LiBPdGhlciBhY3Rpdml0eSBjb25zaXN0ZWQNCm9mIGEgQjkg
eC1yYXkgZXZlbnQgZnJvbSBSZWdpb24gMTI3OSAoTjEzRTYxKSwgb2JzZXJ2ZWQgYXQgMjYv
MTMzM1ouDQpOZXcgUmVnaW9uIDEyODAgKE4xN0UyNCkgZW1lcmdlZCBvbiB0aGUgZGlzayBh
cyBhIHNpbXBsZSBiaS1wb2xhcg0Kc3BvdCBncm91cC4gVGhlIHJlbWFpbmRlciBvZiB0aGUg
cmVnaW9ucyB3ZXJlIHF1aWV0IGFuZCBzdGFibGUuDQpJQi4gIFNvbGFyIEFjdGl2aXR5IEZv
cmVjYXN0OiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgaXMgZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gYmUgbG93DQpmb3IgdGhl
IG5leHQgdGhyZWUgZGF5cyAoMjcgLSAyOSBBdWd1c3QpLiBBIHNsaWdodCBjaGFuY2UgZm9y
DQpNLWNsYXNzIGFjdGl2aXR5IGV4aXN0cyBvbiBkYXlzIG9uZSBhbmQgdHdvIGZyb20gUmVn
aW9uIDEyNzEgYmVmb3JlDQp0aGUgcmVnaW9uIHJvdGF0ZXMgYXJvdW5kIHRoZSB3ZXN0IGxp
bWIgb24gMjggQXVndXN0Lg0KSUlBLiAgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkgU3VtbWFyeSAy
NS8yMTAwWiB0byAyNi8yMTAwWjoNClRoZSBnZW9tYWduZXRpYyBmaWVsZCB3YXMgcXVpZXQu
IE9ic2VydmF0aW9ucyBmcm9tIHRoZSBBQ0Ugc3BhY2VjcmFmdA0KaW5kaWNhdGVkIHN0ZWFk
eSBjb25kaXRpb25zIHdpdGggd2luZCBzcGVlZHMgYXZlcmFnaW5nIGFib3V0IDQwMA0Ka20v
cy4NCklJQi4gIEdlb3BoeXNpY2FsIEFjdGl2aXR5IEZvcmVjYXN0OiAgVGhlIGdlb21hZ25l
dGljIGZpZWxkIGlzDQpleHBlY3RlZCB0byByZW1haW4gYXQgcXVpZXQgbGV2ZWxzIGZvciBk
YXkgb25lICgyNyBBdWd1c3QpLiBCeSBkYXkNCnR3byAoMjggQXVndXN0KSwgYWN0aXZpdHkg
bGV2ZWxzIGFyZSBleHBlY3RlZCB0byBpbmNyZWFzZSB0byBxdWlldA0KdG8gdW5zZXR0bGVk
LCB3aXRoIGlzb2xhdGVkIGFjdGl2ZSBwZXJpb2RzLCBkdWUgdG8gYSBnZW9lZmZlY3RpdmUs
DQpyZWN1cnJlbnQgY29yb25hbCBob2xlIGhpZ2ggc3BlZWQgc3RyZWFtLiBUaGUgY29uZGl0
aW9ucyBhcmUNCmV4cGVjdGVkIHRvIHBlcnNpc3QgdGhyb3VnaCBkYXkgdGhyZWUgKDI5IEF1
Z3VzdCkuDQpJSUkuICBFdmVudCBQcm9iYWJpbGl0aWVzIDI3IEF1Zy0yOSBBdWcNCkNsYXNz
IE0gICAgMTAvMDUvMDENCkNsYXNzIFggICAgMDEvMDEvMDENClByb3RvbiAgICAgMDEvMDEv
MDENClBDQUYgICAgICAgR3JlZW4NCklWLiAgUGVudGljdG9uIDEwLjcgY20gRmx1eA0KT2Jz
ZXJ2ZWQgICAgICAgICAgIDI2IEF1ZyAxMDUNClByZWRpY3RlZCAgIDI3IEF1Zy0yOSBBdWcg
IDEwNS8xMDAvMTAwDQo5MCBEYXkgTWVhbiAgICAgICAgMjYgQXVnIDA5Nw0KVi4gIEdlb21h
Z25ldGljIEEgSW5kaWNlcw0KT2JzZXJ2ZWQgQWZyL0FwIDI1IEF1ZyAgMDA0LzAwNA0KRXN0
aW1hdGVkIEFmci9BcCAyNiBBdWcgIDAwMi8wMDQNClByZWRpY3RlZCBBZnIvQXAgMjcgQXVn
LTI5IEF1ZyAgMDA1LzAwNS0wMDcvMDEwLTAwNy8wMDgNClZJLiAgR2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgQWN0
aXZpdHkgUHJvYmFiaWxpdGllcyAyNyBBdWctMjkgQXVnDQpBLiAgTWlkZGxlIExhdGl0dWRl
cw0KQWN0aXZlICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgIDE1LzIwLzIwDQpNaW5vciBzdG9ybSAgICAgICAg
ICAgMDEvMDUvMDUNCk1ham9yLXNldmVyZSBzdG9ybSAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KQi4gIEhpZ2gg
TGF0aXR1ZGVzDQpBY3RpdmUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgMTUvMzAvMjUNCk1pbm9yIHN0b3Jt
ICAgICAgICAgICAwMS8xNS8xMA0KTWFqb3Itc2V2ZXJlIHN0b3JtICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQo8
L1BSRT48QlI+PEhSPlRoYW5rIHlvdSBmb3IgdXNpbmcgdGhlIFByb2R1Y3QgU3Vic2NyaXB0
aW9uIFNlcnZpY2UuIElmIHlvdSB3b3VsZCBsaWtlIHRvIHJlbW92ZSBhIHByb2R1Y3Qgc3Vi
c2NyaXB0aW9uIG9yIHVwZGF0ZSB0aGUgcGVyc29uYWwgaW5mb3JtYXRpb24gaW4geW91ciBh
Y2NvdW50LCBnbyB0byB0aGUgPGEgaHJlZj0iaHR0cHM6Ly9wc3Muc3dwYy5ub2FhLmdvdiI+
UHJvZHVjdCBTdWJzY3JpcHRpb24gU2l0ZS48L2E+IFBsZWFzZSBkbyBub3QgdXNlIHRoZSBm
cm9tIGFkZHJlc3MgZm9yIGNvcnJlc3BvbmRlbmNlLCBhcyBpdCBpcyBub3QgbW9uaXRvcmVk
LiBGb3IgY29tbWVudHMgb3IgaGVscCwgcGxlYXNlIGNvbnRhY3QgPGEgaHJlZj0ibWFpbHRv
OnBzcy5oZWxwQG5vYWEuZ292Ij5TV1BDIEhlbHAuPC9hPjwvQk9EWT48L0hUTUw+
----boundary_31087_b5a41552-4585-459e-bea3-75b48550244f--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
