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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.07.11 14:53l 120 Lines 4367 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Jul 29 1247 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU210
UGEOA 30512 10729 1222/ 9930/
11292 20292 30292
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 29 Jul 2011 until 31 Jul
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Jul 2011 10CM FLUX: 107 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Jul 2011 10CM FLUX: 109 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Jul 2011 10CM FLUX: 111 / AP: 007
COMMENT: NOAA AR 1260 and 1261 (Catania 43 and 44) have produced over
20 C-class flares in the last day (the strongest being a C4.1 peaking at
01:06 UT from AR 1260). They will certainly produce more. NOAA AR 1263
just rotated over the east limb and is showing a complex configuration
and large area, it has already started producing C-class flares. These
three ARs, especially 1260, can produce M flares. Geomagnetic conditions
are quiet, the fast solar wind from the coronal hole has not arrived
yet. It can still do so, but it probably was too high in latitude to
reach the ecliptic plane. There was a large backsided CME at 19:00 UT on
July 28, a few hours later (02:24 UT) a small eruption is seen by COR2
onboard STEREO, apparently directed to the east but more data is needed
to completely discard the possibility of an encounter with the Earth.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 063, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10729 1222/ 28///
1//// 21070 3004/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10729 1222/ 27/06 29106
10041 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60005 42817 01000
10043 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50110 60025 13918 19200
10044 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50120 60020 16817 17200
10045 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 10716 00000
10046 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 26923 00000
10047 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 27232 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 28102 06432 31000 44117 0/101 32022 12620 37515 33019
15517 31406 34015 18018 21402
USSPS 21305 28174 08632 44019 12220 24521 46027 15617 51415 48036
17920 51405 47002 25530 01205
USSPS 81202 29038 08722 29031 11618 47523 31030 14615 34416 33039
17016 41406 32004 24933 01202
UMAGF 30503 10729 1004/ 28065 1/007 22111 31101
UMAGF 31523 10729 ///// 2800/ 1/004 21211 31112
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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