| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 23.07.11 00:04l 233 Lines 7574 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : M7LOK0NAG00H
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110722/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 22 Jul 2011 22:02:50 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1311371499-03b348676d1a0340001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 22 Jul 2011 22:02:46.0078 (UTC) FILETIME=[1684ADE0:01CC48BB]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.257
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.69691Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1311371499
----boundary_503433_fd4fbfe8-9036-4468-b4c3-575fa49a4e67
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Jul 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 203 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Jul 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Regions 1254 (S24W42) and
1259 (N25E18) were both Dso Beta groups, remaining quiet and stable
during the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a chance for a C-class flare over the next 3 days
(23-25 July).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the period, with the
exception of an isolated period of active conditions between
22/06-09Z due to night time sub storming. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled with an isolated nighttime active
period possible on day 1 (23 July) from coronal hole effects.
Conditions are expected to be mostly quiet for days 2-3 (24-25
July), as high speed stream effects are expected to subside.
III. Event Probabilities 23 Jul-25 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Jul 092
Predicted 23 Jul-25 Jul 092/092/090
90 Day Mean 22 Jul 096
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Jul 010/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Jul 008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Jul-25 Jul 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Jul-25 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 40/20/20
Minor storm 30/10/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 50/30/20
Minor storm 40/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_503433_fd4fbfe8-9036-4468-b4c3-575fa49a4e67
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_503433_fd4fbfe8-9036-4468-b4c3-575fa49a4e67--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
