| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 20.07.11 00:02l 249 Lines 8125 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : J7LOK0NAG00L
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110719/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 19 Jul 2011 22:00:58 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1311112213-03b348676dbb160001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 19 Jul 2011 22:00:57.0373 (UTC) FILETIME=[567C5CD0:01CC465F]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.258
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.69407Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1311112213
----boundary_452718_5082cdea-2dc5-4bb2-b063-551a06d5d868
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Jul 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 200 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Jul 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. There were seven numbered
active regions on the disk today, but all remain quiet and stable.
The two most significant, Region 1257 (N20W83) and Region 1254
(S22W04) were classified as Dso Beta groups, producing only a few
weak B-class events.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a chance for a C-class flare over the next 3 days
(20-22 July).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled with the
exception of an isolated period of active conditions at mid
latitudes and a minor storm at high latitudes between 19/15Z-19/18Z.
This activity was associated with the onset of coronal hole high
speed stream effects.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at mostly unsettled to active levels with and
isolated minor storm possible on days 1 and 2 (20-21 July) as the
result of coronal hole high speed stream effects. Conditions should
decrease to primarily unsettled levels with the chance for isolated
active periods on day 3 (22 July), as coronal hole effects begin to
decline.
III. Event Probabilities 20 Jul-22 Jul
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Jul 100
Predicted 20 Jul-22 Jul 100/100/100
90 Day Mean 19 Jul 097
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Jul 006/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Jul 007/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Jul-22 Jul 012/012-010/012-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Jul-22 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/30/30
Minor storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/30/30
Minor storm 20/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_452718_5082cdea-2dc5-4bb2-b063-551a06d5d868
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_452718_5082cdea-2dc5-4bb2-b063-551a06d5d868--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
