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OK0NAG > SOLAR 18.07.11 15:01l 143 Lines 5295 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Mon, 18 Jul 2011 12:54:47 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Jul 18 1253 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU199
UGEOA 30512 10718 1234/ 9930/
11182 20182 30182
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 18 Jul 2011 until 20 Jul
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Jul 2011 10CM FLUX: 104 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Jul 2011 10CM FLUX: 106 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Jul 2011 10CM FLUX: 106 / AP: 011
COMMENT: The active region that emerged on July 16th was numbered by
NOAA as AR 1257 and currently has a Beta magnetic configuration, It
produce a B7.9 flare yesterday evening. AR 1254 (Cat 33, also beta)
produced a C1 flare this morning at 10h28. More C-flares are possible in
the coming hours.
A filament eruption was observed in SDO/AIA 304 images at 23h58 on July
17th. Due to a gap in the data, it is first seen in SOHO/LASCO images at
03h36. As the eruption occurred on the east limb, we expect no influence
of this CME. The same LASCO image showed another CME on the west side of
the sun. From STEREO data we conclude it occurred on the other side of
the sun.
A high speed coronal wind stream originating from a small coronal hole
has arrived at earth a bit sooner than expected. The solar wind
parameters measured by ACE show a jump around 03h00 UT today. Currently
the wind speed is still moderate (~460 km/s). Unsettled to active
conditions are possible today and tomorrow. On July 20th we expect the
arrival of another wind stream, originating from the larger coronal hole
on the center of the solar disk..
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 077, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10718 1234/ 17///
1//// 2104/ 3006/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10718 1234/ 18/06 18108
10029 2//// 3//// 472// 50030 60001 35126 00000
10030 2//// 3//// 472// 50060 60003 41216 00000
10033 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50080 60018 22022 04000
10035 2//// 3//// 4412/ 50030 60006 10409 00000
10037 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50080 60012 45920 03000
10038 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 42613 00000
10039 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60003 10319 00000
10040 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60003 18025 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 17055 08532 22006 33826 2/802 23006 10216 2/803 24001
11918 01203 25003 23423 21306 27003 11709 21405 28004 44519 21306
USSPS 21305 17154 09232 39006 45219 34414 30005 40317 2/802 29008
34228 3/801 35004 23022 27410 40002 11119 01203 36001 11410 21302
USSPS 81202 18033 11532 20002 10517 21305 22003 10708 21404 21009
22124 14420 17008 35027 2/801 23002 42512 21304 18010 40916 2/801
25020 45720 24410
USSPS 31405 18060 12932 29003 35126 2/901 30006 41216 2/903 33008
22022 22318 35003 10409 15406 37008 45920 21312 38001 42613 01203
39001 10319 0/103 40002 18025 21303
UMAGF 30503 10718 1004/ 17062 1/010 21112 32212
UMAGF 31523 10718 ///// 1700/ 1/006 21211 32222
INDAA 10711
1/020 00803 90470 25038 02401 6/027
2/024 01600 50120 33024 02400 8/018
3/016 01200 50120 16012 01200 5/011
4/008 01601 60330 16016 00800 9/015
5/008 02400 80020 12009 00500 5/009
6/005 00500 50120 08012 00500 5/007
7/008 01200 20050 05008 00900 9/007
END
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