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OK0NAG > SOLAR 19.04.08 23:00l 72 Lines 2866 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Sat, 19 Apr 2008 22:01:39 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Apr 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 110 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Apr 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 991 (S09E29)
was numbered today and has a Bxo-beta configuration spot group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low. There is a slight chance of an isolated C-class event
from Region 991.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on day one (20 April). A recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream begins to become geoeffective on day
two (21 April) with unsettled conditions expected. Unsettled to
active levels, with a chance for minor to major storms at high
latitudes, are anticipated by day three (22 April).
III. Event Probabilities 20 Apr-22 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Apr 071
Predicted 20 Apr-22 Apr 075/075/080
90 Day Mean 19 Apr 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Apr 005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Apr 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Apr-22 Apr 005/005-008/012-015/025
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Apr-22 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/20/25
Minor storm 05/05/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/40
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/05/10
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