| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.06.11 00:06l 237 Lines 7834 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 36LOK0NAG00K
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IW2OHX<IW7BNO<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110603/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 3 Jun 2011 22:04:11 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1307138206-03b3480a1a122bd0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 03 Jun 2011 22:08:26.0734 (UTC) FILETIME=[C352E8E0:01CC223A]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.287
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.65489Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1307138206
----boundary_765764_9fa6e7cf-269c-46f7-a165-10be16ae569b
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Jun 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 154 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jun 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1226 (S22W14) produced
a C2/Sf flare at 03/1617Z. This region is a Dkc group with a beta
magnetic classification. All other numbered regions on the disk
remained stable through the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to low with
a slight chance for an isolated M-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly active with isolated minor storm conditions,
and isolated major storm levels at high latitudes, for day one (04
June). Activity is expected due to the combination of effects from
a coronal hole high-speed stream and a CME observed on 02 June.
Quiet to unsettled levels with isolated active conditions are
expected for day two (05 June). Day three (06 June) is expected to
be quiet to unsettled as activity effects subside.
III. Event Probabilities 04 Jun-06 Jun
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Jun 107
Predicted 04 Jun-06 Jun 106/104/102
90 Day Mean 03 Jun 107
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jun 006/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jun 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun 020/025-015/018-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jun-06 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 40/30/15
Minor storm 20/10/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 45/35/25
Minor storm 25/20/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_765764_9fa6e7cf-269c-46f7-a165-10be16ae569b
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_765764_9fa6e7cf-269c-46f7-a165-10be16ae569b--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
