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OK0NAG > SOLAR 30.05.11 14:56l 137 Lines 5208 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 May 30 1250 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU150
UGEOA 30512 10530 1238/ 9930/
11302 20302 30302
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 30 May 2011 until 01 Jun
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 111 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 120 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Jun 2011 10CM FLUX: 125 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Geomagnetic conditions have returned to quiet levels after the
passage of the high speed wind stream from a coronal hole and the
arrival of an ICME.
Several potential active active regions are rotating onto the
earth-side of the solar disk. This means we will mostly expect solar
eruptive conditions throughout this week. Yesterday on May 29 two CMEs
erupted from two such active regions. One erupted at around 10h35 UT
from AR NOAA 1226 (Cat 98) in association with a M1.4 flare and a Type
II burst. The CMEs speed is around 550 km/s and it is not expected to be
geoeffective. A second more energetic CME erupted around 21h24 UT from
nearby AR NOAA 1227 (Cat 99) in association with a C8.79 flare and a
Type II burst indicating a shock with speed ~1500 km/s. The CME speed
was measured in LASCO images to be around 1000 - 1200 km/s. While the
CME is directed eastward as seen from the earth, we may still expect
some minor influence at earth from the shock in a few days, but no major
influence is expected.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 084, BASED ON 16 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10530 1238/ 29///
1//// 21111 3033/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
29 1008 1033 1108 S22E65 M1.4 1F II/1
98 1226 associated CME ~ 550 km/s
END
UGEOR 30512 10530 1238/ 30/07 30107
10001 2//// 3//// 473// 50050 60001 16517 00000
10094 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 12717 00000
10095 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50070 60010 44423 17000
10096 2//// 3//// 4421/ 50050 60004 47719 00000
10097 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60004 14616 00000
10098 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50290 60025 24820 19200
10099 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50070 60007 26119 04000
99999
USSPS 32404 29075 08022 92008 43020 21409 93005 14117 2/801 94020
26522 21514 95012 27919 21305 96012 17817 2/801
USSPS 21305 29155 09532 99002 46413 0/102 02010 43720 34314 01002
13618 0/801 05009 17419 0/801 04008 27519 31304 03036 26119 54413
USSPS 81202 30020 10222 88015 47016 21403 91014 44320 44409 90005
13117 2/801 95005 15316 21304 93017 16817 2/801 92050 25521 44409
94027 26718 21405
USSPS 31405 30070 12242 01005 16517 3/901 94002 12717 2/901 95007
44423 34410 96005 47719 23404 97003 14616 21304 98029 24820 54525
99007 26119 25407
UMAGF 30503 10530 1004/ 29060 1/034 24334 34332
UMAGF 31523 10530 ///// 2900/ 1/033 25544 34543
INDAA 10523
1/002 00800 20050 16009 00900 5/007
2/017 00800 50080 16016 00800 5/010
3/008 00500 50020 05005 00500 5/005
4/008 00500 50020 20033 00801 2/012
5/005 01201 60120 33033 06002 4/024
6/046 02014 11411 19025 01203 8/068
7/046 08308 30700 33081 06002 4/060
END
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