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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.05.11 14:16l 112 Lines 4156 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Tue, 17 May 2011 13:12:36 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 May 17 1311 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU137
UGEOA 30512 10517 1244/ 9930/
11172 20172 30172
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 May 2011 until 19 May
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 091 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 090 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 May 2011 10CM FLUX: 093 / AP: 003
COMMENT: Catania sunspot groups 79 and 87 (NOAA ARs 1208 and 1214
respectively) produced several B-class flares in the past 24 hours. A
C-class flare in one of these active regions is probable. A filament
eruption in the northern hemisphere close to the central meridian was
detected by SDO/AIA around 3:00 UT today. It was accompanied by coronal
dimmings and a post-eruption arcade, indicating the eruption of a CME.
However, STEREO/SECCHI COR2 data showed that the CME was directed to the
north of the ecliptic plane. Its arrival at the Earth is therefore
unlikely. The Earth is currently inside a fast (around 580 km/s) solar
wind stream with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field
magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are expected to be quiet in the
coming hours.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 037, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10517 1244/ 16///
10061 20920 3017/ 4//// 80304 90160
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10517 1244/ 17/08 17104
10079 2//// 3//// 4412/ 50030 60005 46811 15000
10087 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50110 60010 31822 02000
10088 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 30922 00000
10089 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 26214 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 16081 05022 76009 45609 21406 84006 30125 21613 85009
27515 2/801
USSPS 21305 16156 04232 83003 45908 21303 91005 30625 31308 92009
27315 2/801
USSPS 31405 17080 05932 79003 46811 14405 87011 31822 24410 88001
30922 01203 89004 26214 2/901
UMAGF 30503 10517 1004/ 16063 1/022 23333 33222
UMAGF 31523 10517 ///// 1600/ 1/017 23234 34333
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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