| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.05.11 23:04l 229 Lines 7585 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : F5LOK0NAG00X
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110515/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 15 May 2011 22:03:02 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1305496538-03b34838003b310001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 15 May 2011 22:06:54.0484 (UTC) FILETIME=[667D6D40:01CC134C]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.299
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.63844Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1305496538
----boundary_455156_bd868263-7b02-4b9b-9c4c-80cbce013118
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 May 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 135 Issued at 2200Z on 15 May 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours. Region
1208 (N11W48) produced an isolated C1/Sf at 15/1620Z. This region
grew in area and is classified as an Eso type sunspot group. Region
1214 (S21E01) grew but remained a simple magnetic bi-polar group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low during the next three days (16-18 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active during the past 24 hours.
Observations from the ACE spacecraft indicate the onset of a coronal
hole high speed stream (CH HSS). Solar wind velocities increased
throughout the period to about 590 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled, with a slight
chance for isolated active periods on days one and two (16-17 May).
Day three (18 May) is expected to be quiet as the CH HSS subsides.
III. Event Probabilities 16 May-18 May
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 May 095
Predicted 16 May-18 May 092/092/090
90 Day Mean 15 May 110
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 May 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 May 011/011
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 May-18 May 008/008-008/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 May-18 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/05
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/10
Minor storm 10/10/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_455156_bd868263-7b02-4b9b-9c4c-80cbce013118
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64
PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u
YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250
ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+
OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl
ZDogMjAxMSBNYXkgMTUgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T
LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u
IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl
cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMTM1
IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAxNSBNYXkgMjAxMQ0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh
ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMTQvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDE1LzIx
MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIGxvdyBkdXJpbmcgdGhlIHBhc3QgMjQgaG91cnMu
IFJlZ2lvbg0KMTIwOCAoTjExVzQ4KSBwcm9kdWNlZCBhbiBpc29sYXRlZCBDMS9TZiBhdCAx
NS8xNjIwWi4gVGhpcyByZWdpb24NCmdyZXcgaW4gYXJlYSBhbmQgaXMgY2xhc3NpZmllZCBh
cyBhbiBFc28gdHlwZSBzdW5zcG90IGdyb3VwLiBSZWdpb24NCjEyMTQgKFMyMUUwMSkgZ3Jl
dyBidXQgcmVtYWluZWQgYSBzaW1wbGUgbWFnbmV0aWMgYmktcG9sYXIgZ3JvdXAuDQpJQi4g
IFNvbGFyIEFjdGl2aXR5IEZvcmVjYXN0OiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgaXMgZXhwZWN0ZWQg
dG8gYmUgdmVyeQ0KbG93IHRvIGxvdyBkdXJpbmcgdGhlIG5leHQgdGhyZWUgZGF5cyAoMTYt
MTggTWF5KS4NCklJQS4gIEdlb3BoeXNpY2FsIEFjdGl2aXR5IFN1bW1hcnkgMTQvMjEwMFog
dG8gMTUvMjEwMFo6DQpUaGUgZ2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgZmllbGQgd2FzIHF1aWV0IHRvIGFjdGl2
ZSBkdXJpbmcgdGhlIHBhc3QgMjQgaG91cnMuIA0KT2JzZXJ2YXRpb25zIGZyb20gdGhlIEFD
RSBzcGFjZWNyYWZ0IGluZGljYXRlIHRoZSBvbnNldCBvZiBhIGNvcm9uYWwNCmhvbGUgaGln
aCBzcGVlZCBzdHJlYW0gKENIIEhTUykuICBTb2xhciB3aW5kIHZlbG9jaXRpZXMgaW5jcmVh
c2VkDQp0aHJvdWdob3V0IHRoZSBwZXJpb2QgdG8gYWJvdXQgNTkwIGttL3MuDQpJSUIuICBH
ZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eSBGb3JlY2FzdDogIFRoZSBnZW9tYWduZXRpYyBmaWVsZCBp
cw0KZXhwZWN0ZWQgdG8gYmUgcHJlZG9taW5hdGVseSBxdWlldCB0byB1bnNldHRsZWQsIHdp
dGggYSBzbGlnaHQNCmNoYW5jZSBmb3IgaXNvbGF0ZWQgYWN0aXZlIHBlcmlvZHMgb24gZGF5
cyBvbmUgYW5kIHR3byAoMTYtMTcgTWF5KS4gDQpEYXkgdGhyZWUgKDE4IE1heSkgaXMgZXhw
ZWN0ZWQgdG8gYmUgcXVpZXQgYXMgdGhlIENIIEhTUyBzdWJzaWRlcy4NCklJSS4gIEV2ZW50
IFByb2JhYmlsaXRpZXMgMTYgTWF5LTE4IE1heQ0KQ2xhc3MgTSAgICAwNS8wNS8wNQ0KQ2xh
c3MgWCAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KUHJvdG9uICAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KUENBRiAgICAgICBncmVl
bg0KSVYuICBQZW50aWN0b24gMTAuNyBjbSBGbHV4DQpPYnNlcnZlZCAgICAgICAgICAgMTUg
TWF5IDA5NQ0KUHJlZGljdGVkICAgMTYgTWF5LTE4IE1heSAgMDkyLzA5Mi8wOTANCjkwIERh
eSBNZWFuICAgICAgICAxNSBNYXkgMTEwDQpWLiAgR2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgQSBJbmRpY2VzDQpP
YnNlcnZlZCBBZnIvQXAgMTQgTWF5ICAwMDMvMDA0DQpFc3RpbWF0ZWQgQWZyL0FwIDE1IE1h
eSAgMDExLzAxMQ0KUHJlZGljdGVkIEFmci9BcCAxNiBNYXktMTggTWF5ICAwMDgvMDA4LTAw
OC8wMDgtMDA1LzAwNQ0KVkkuICBHZW9tYWduZXRpYyBBY3Rpdml0eSBQcm9iYWJpbGl0aWVz
IDE2IE1heS0xOCBNYXkNCkEuICBNaWRkbGUgTGF0aXR1ZGVzDQpBY3RpdmUgICAgICAgICAg
ICAgICAgMTUvMTUvMDUNCk1pbm9yIHN0b3JtICAgICAgICAgICAwNS8wNS8wMQ0KTWFqb3It
c2V2ZXJlIHN0b3JtICAgIDAxLzAxLzAxDQpCLiAgSGlnaCBMYXRpdHVkZXMNCkFjdGl2ZSAg
ICAgICAgICAgICAgICAyMC8yMC8xMA0KTWlub3Igc3Rvcm0gICAgICAgICAgIDEwLzEwLzAx
DQpNYWpvci1zZXZlcmUgc3Rvcm0gICAgMDEvMDEvMDENCjwvUFJFPjxCUj48SFI+VGhhbmsg
eW91IGZvciB1c2luZyB0aGUgUHJvZHVjdCBTdWJzY3JpcHRpb24gU2VydmljZS4gSWYgeW91
IHdvdWxkIGxpa2UgdG8gcmVtb3ZlIGEgcHJvZHVjdCBzdWJzY3JpcHRpb24gb3IgdXBkYXRl
IHRoZSBwZXJzb25hbCBpbmZvcm1hdGlvbiBpbiB5b3VyIGFjY291bnQsIGdvIHRvIHRoZSA8
YSBocmVmPSJodHRwczovL3Bzcy5zd3BjLm5vYWEuZ292Ij5Qcm9kdWN0IFN1YnNjcmlwdGlv
biBTaXRlLjwvYT4gUGxlYXNlIGRvIG5vdCB1c2UgdGhlIGZyb20gYWRkcmVzcyBmb3IgY29y
cmVzcG9uZGVuY2UsIGFzIGl0IGlzIG5vdCBtb25pdG9yZWQuIEZvciBjb21tZW50cyBvciBo
ZWxwLCBwbGVhc2UgY29udGFjdCA8YSBocmVmPSJtYWlsdG86cHNzLmhlbHBAbm9hYS5nb3Yi
PlNXUEMgSGVscC48L2E+PC9CT0RZPjwvSFRNTD4----boundary_455156_bd868263-7b02-4b9b-9c4c-80cbce013118--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
