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OK0NAG > SOLAR 20.04.11 14:46l 125 Lines 4564 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Apr 20 1242 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU110
UGEOA 30512 10420 1223/ 9930/
11202 21202 30202
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 20 Apr 2011 until 22 Apr
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Apr 2011 10CM FLUX: 111 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Apr 2011 10CM FLUX: 113 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Apr 2011 10CM FLUX: 115 / AP: 001
COMMENT: Solar activity remains low, with only one C1.1 flare detected
during the last 24h. This flare originated in the NOAA AR 1195 (Cat 58)
which is the region turning into view over the east limb. More C-flares
are possible in the coming days. The current X-ray background is at B
level. SDO/AIA 304 images show a filament eruption that took place on
april 19th. Cactus detected the associated CME in LASCO at 22h24 in the
NE with a speed of 500 km/s. This event is also seen in STEREO-B/COR2
images. The CME is directed mostly northwards, and we do not expect it
to affect the Earth.
Geomagnetic conditions became active this morning, due to the arrival
of a fast coronal wind stream (starting yesterday around 20h). The solar
wind speed increase up to 550 km/s. The local K index in Dourbes reached
a maximum of K=4 (and Kp=5 for one period). Unsettled to active
conditions are expected for the rest of the day. Tomorrow, we will
return to quiet conditions.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 048, BASED ON 18 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10420 1223/ 19///
10078 21110 3005/ 4//// 80104 90620
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10420 1223/ 20/07 20105
10051 2//// 3//// 472// 50020 60001 48513 00000
10053 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50030 60006 42508 00000
10055 2//// 3//// 4522/ 50320 60039 41117 02000
10058 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50050 60010 26416 04000
10059 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 11211 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 19075 06732 56030 47313 5/804 57004 41708 2/801 59031
10218 57520 61002 27916 1/802
USSPS 21305 19156 06122 60008 47912 2/802 62004 41608 21304 64029
40417 34512 68003 27315 0/103
USSPS 81202 20007 09032 57008 26916 21303 58001 11712 0/101 54030
40617 47531 52002 42507 21303 51003 47914 31302
USSPS 31405 20076 10752 51002 48513 2/901 53003 42508 21306 55032
41117 24539 58005 26416 21310 59001 11211 0/101
UMAGF 30503 10420 1004/ 19063 1/019 21110 31235
UMAGF 31523 10420 ///// 1900/ 1/005 21111 31123
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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