|
OK0NAG > SOLAR 16.04.11 00:06l 249 Lines 8129 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : F4LOK0NAG00L
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<F6IQF<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110415/2205z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 15 Apr 2011 22:05:12 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1302904905-03b3480d9b3637c0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 15 Apr 2011 22:08:27.0875 (UTC) FILETIME=[A5C34330:01CBFBB9]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.318
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.60964Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1302904905
----boundary_14748_6a1a71da-9f18-42ac-a694-7bd22d27bd31
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Apr 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 105 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Apr 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z: Solar activity increased to moderate levels. Region
1190 (N13W26) produced an M1/1F flare at 15/1712Z. Associated with
this event were discrete radio emissions ranging from 4995 MHz -
15400 MHz. Occasional C-class flares were also observed during the
period. Region 1190 and Region 1193 (N17E44) remain the most
significant regions. Both Regions 1190 and 1193 showed increases in
areal coverage. A filament was observed lifting at 14/2324Z on GOES
SXI. A CME was observed on SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery at 15/0036Z, with a
speed of approximately 390 km/s. STEREO imagery showed the CME is
expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels, with C-class flares expected for the next three days
(16-18 April). There is also a slight chance for M-class flares
during the period.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (16-18
April).
III. Event Probabilities 16 Apr-18 Apr
Class M 55/55/55
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 05/05/05
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Apr 129
Predicted 16 Apr-18 Apr 135/140/145
90 Day Mean 15 Apr 103
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Apr 003/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Apr 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Apr-18 Apr 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Apr-18 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_14748_6a1a71da-9f18-42ac-a694-7bd22d27bd31
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_14748_6a1a71da-9f18-42ac-a694-7bd22d27bd31--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |