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OK0NAG > SOLAR    15.04.11 14:46l 114 Lines 4341 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Apr 15 1243 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU105
UGEOA 30512 10415 1236/ 9930/
11152 20152 30152
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 15 Apr 2011 until 17 Apr 
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Apr 2011  10CM FLUX: 120 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Apr 2011  10CM FLUX: 120 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Apr 2011  10CM FLUX: 120 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity is low, NOAA ARs 1193 and 1190 are still
growing in size and will continue to produce C-class flares and, less
likely, M-class flares. The largest one was a C1.9, peaking at 11:36 UT,

originating in AR 1190. There was a filament eruption around 23:30 UT in

the south east limb. There is still too few data on the CME, but there

seems to be an Earth directed component, most likely it will cause only

a shock arrival around three days from now. Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be quiet.

TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 085, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10415 1236/ 14///
10154 21190 3005/ 4//// 80208 90590
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 10415 1236/ 14/09 15108
10046 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50030 60006 43721 01000
10048 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60003 45416 01000
10051 2//// 3//// 4532/ 50340 60042 40412 17200
10052 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60003 41710 00000
10053 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50050 60005 15209 04000
10055 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50110 60009 16717 16100
10056 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 33231 00000
10057 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 20718 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 14092 11632 50003 45817 1/802 52002 44221 1/803 56030 
40513 57527 57009 15508 21402 58002 41911 11402 59026 16516 31507 
60001 33532 01203 
USSPS 21305 14177 12932 66001 20220 0/102 65001 33832 0/101 64008 
15309 31302 62026 16414 21409 61025 40913 54531 63001 42610 0/101 
57002 44621 0/102 54002 46117 0/101 
USSPS 81202 15007 14222 46001 46514 0/101 47004 45119 1/802 53001 
43009 0/101 51051 41413 47552 52009 14708 21303 54040 15817 44523 
UMAGF 30503 10415 1004/ 14067 1/008 22100 31221 
UMAGF 31523 10415 ///// 1400/ 1/005 21122 31013 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

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