| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 05.04.11 00:04l 249 Lines 8210 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 44LOK0NAG00O
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<DB0RES<DK0WUE<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110404/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 4 Apr 2011 22:02:34 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1301954450-03b3480d9b1b7dc0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 04 Apr 2011 22:05:35.0703 (UTC) FILETIME=[6C98A670:01CBF314]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.326
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.59913Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1301954450
----boundary_775733_63ff731a-bcee-419f-8349-a2c13ac50420
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Apr 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 094 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Apr 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 1185 (N23E72)
was numbered today. Multiple CME's were observed by Stereo Ahead
COR2 imagery. A long duration B-class event was associated with the
CME that lifted off of the Northeast limb at approximately 04/0509Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a slight chance for moderate activity (isolated
M-class event) from Region 1183 (N16W38) for the next three days (05
- 07 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. ACE solar
wind data showed wind speeds decreasing from approximately 600 km/s
to approximately 460/km/s as the coronal hole high speed stream (CH
HSS) effects wane. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be mostly quiet on days one and two (05 - 06 April).
Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels with
isolated active periods on day three (07 April) in response to
coronal hole effects. The CME mentioned above is not expected to be
geo-effective.
III. Event Probabilities 05 Apr-07 Apr
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Apr 113
Predicted 05 Apr-07 Apr 105/105/100
90 Day Mean 04 Apr 099
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Apr 011/016
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Apr 008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Apr-07 Apr 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Apr-07 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/20
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/25
Minor storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_775733_63ff731a-bcee-419f-8349-a2c13ac50420
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_775733_63ff731a-bcee-419f-8349-a2c13ac50420--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
