| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.04.11 00:08l 240 Lines 7919 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 34LOK0NAG00K
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IV3SCP<SR1BSZ<OK0NBR<OK0PHL<OK0PCC<OK0NAG
Sent: 110403/2205z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 3 Apr 2011 22:05:07 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1301868198-03b3480d9b18fed0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 03 Apr 2011 22:08:07.0078 (UTC) FILETIME=[9C68E460:01CBF24B]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.326
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.59817Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.98:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1301868198
----boundary_763848_d5c37b86-2835-4164-8e9f-6a32f76957e8
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Apr 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 093 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Apr 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1183 (N17W25) produced a
C1 event at 03/0519Z. A CME was associated with a B8/Sf event from
Region 1173 (S18W86) at 02/2347Z. At 03/0024Z, Goes-15 SXI imagery
detected material movement from the SW limb that was later observed
in STEREO-B COR2 imagery at 03/0109Z and STEREO-A COR2 imagery at
03/0409Z. Using this imagery, a preliminary plane-of-sky speed
estimate of 322 km/s was assigned.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low with a slight chance for moderate activity (isolated
M-class) from Region 1183 during the period (04 - 06 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to active levels in response
to a coronal hole high-speed stream (CH HSS). The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (04 - 06 April).
The CME mentioned above is not expected to be geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 04 Apr-06 Apr
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Apr 114
Predicted 04 Apr-06 Apr 110/105/105
90 Day Mean 03 Apr 099
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Apr 013/020
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Apr 010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Apr-06 Apr 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Apr-06 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_763848_d5c37b86-2835-4164-8e9f-6a32f76957e8
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_763848_d5c37b86-2835-4164-8e9f-6a32f76957e8--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
