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OK0NAG > SOLAR 14.03.11 14:48l 108 Lines 3951 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Mar 14 1244 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU073
UGEOA 30512 10314 1220/ 9930/
11142 20142 38142
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 14 Mar 2011 until 16 Mar
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 120 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 119 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 118 / AP: 003
COMMENT: Three sunspot groups are currently visible on the solar disk:
NOAA ARs 1166, 1169 (Catania numbers 22, 26) and 1172 (no Catania number
yet). C-class flares occur and can be expected to occur further on in
all three active regions. The NOAA AR 1166 (Catania number 22) has a
beta-gamma configuration of its photospheric magnetic field and
therefore keeps a potential of producing an M-flare. Due to the position
of NOAA AR 1166 close to the west solar limb, a strong CME from this
active region may lead to an energetic particle event at the Earth. The
solar wind speed at the Earth is currently around 600 km/s, and the
interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) magnitude is around the average
level (5 nT). Due to predominantly northward IMF orientation, we expect
quiet geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 036, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10314 1220/ 13///
1//// 21130 3014/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 10314 1220/ 11/09 14102
10022 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50850 60029 43009 19201
10026 2//// 3//// 4532/ 50300 60017 10120 17000
99999
USSPS 21305 13175 05822 32020 43120 11315 35046 46411 57510 38001
14713 01203
USSPS 81202 14005 05422 24072 46509 47608 27049 44017 41512 29001
14414 01204
UMAGF 31523 10314 ///// 1300/ 1/014 21113 32542
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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