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OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.03.11 15:14l 117 Lines 4536 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Mar 10 1308 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU069
UGEOA 30512 10310 1252/ 9930/
11102 21102 37102
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 10 Mar 2011 until 12 Mar
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 143 / AP: 014
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 143 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 142 / AP: 001
COMMENT: As NOAA AR 11164 and 1165 are turning over the west limb, NOAA
AR 11166 is taking over. This active region (Cat 22) produced two
M1.7-flares yesterday (peaking at 11h07 and 14h02) as well as an X1.5
flare just before midnight (peaking at 23h16). The GOES X-ray background
has gone down to the lower C-level, but more flaring activity can be
expected from this region. A shock was observed in the solar wind speed
by the ACE spacecraft around 6h10 UT this morning. This indicated the
arrival of the CME that left the Sun around 20h12 on March 7. The
magnetic field reached a minimum around -10 nT, which caused minor
unsettled geomagnetic conditions (Kp reached level 4). As the Bz
component of the geomagnetic field is turning positive now, we expect
quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions for the coming period.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 069, BASED ON 02 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10310 1252/ 09///
10117 21430 3004/ 4//// 80004 91460
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
09 1035 1107 1121 N08W03 M1.7 SF III/2
22 1166
09 1317 1402 1413 N09W06 M1.7 SF VI/1
22 1166
09 2313 2323 2329 N08W09 X1.5 2B V/1,III/1
22 1166
END
UGEOR 30512 10310 1252/ 10/08 10104
10022 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50990 60042 41609 19210
10024 2//// 3//// 4421/ 50020 60002 38227 04000
10026 2//// 3//// 4532/ 50240 60029 11420 15100
10027 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50020 60002 45312 01000
99999
USSPS 32404 09063 08422 26026 47525 31605 29050 40209 57525 30017
12919 34409 31005 37025 21405
USSPS 21305 09157 12632 30013 47822 34405 36004 37626 01202 32053
40709 57555 35019 12321 27524
USSPS 31405 10088 11542 22099 41609 55542 24002 38227 23402 26024
11420 35529 27002 45312 22302
UMAGF 30503 10310 1004/ 09062 1/010 21111 32222
UMAGF 31523 10310 ///// 0900/ 1/004 22111 31122
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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