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OK0NAG > SOLAR 08.03.11 15:02l 152 Lines 5847 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2011 Mar 08 1258 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU067
UGEOA 30512 10308 1237/ 9930/
12082 20082 37082
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 08 Mar 2011 until 10 Mar
2011
PREDICTIONS FOR 08 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 153 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 152 / AP: 002
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Mar 2011 10CM FLUX: 153 / AP: 001
COMMENT: The Sun is showing a lot of activity. There are 5 NOAA active
regions numbered on the solar disk, of which 3 have a beta-gamma-delta
configuration. These regions (11164, 11165 and 11166 - Catania 18, 19
and 22) together produced seven M flares yesterday and three others
today. The biggest flare (M5.3) of the last days occurred this morning
around 10h44 in AR11165.
A proton event is ongoing, originating from a long duration M3.7 flare
that occurred yesterday evening in AR 11164 around 20h01. The CME
associated with this event was seen in SOHO/LASCO and STEREO-B/COR2 (gap
in STEREO-A data). Another CME was observed with LASCO and STEREO around
14h48 yesterday, linked to the M1.7 flare at 14h. Neither of these CME's
is directed straight towards Earth, but it is possible the Earth will
receive a glancing blow around March 10th. A third eruption was observed
by PROBA2/SWAP this morning around 3h45, originating from the unnumbered
region in the south-east. There are no LASCO data available just after
the event, but it can later on be seen in the C2 images.
We can look forward to more flaring activity from the Sun in the coming
hours. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 084, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 10308 1237/ 07///
1//// 21532 3012/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
07 0749 0754 0756 S20W78 M1.5 SF III/1
1165
07 0759 0807 0815 N25W47 M1.4 1F 100 19
1164
07 0914 0920 0928 N23W50 M1.8 SF 190 19
1164
07 1345 1430 1456 N10E18 M1.9 SF III/2,II/2,IV/1
22 1166
07 1943 2012 2058 M3.7 23000 II/3
19 1164
07 2145 2150 2155 M1.5 III/1
18 1165
08 0224 0229 0232 S18W79 M1.3 1N 18
1165
08 0337 0358 0420 M1.5 130 II/2,III/1,IV/1
END
UGEOR 30512 10308 1237/ 08/09 08106
10018 2//// 3//// 4442/ 50170 60004 38217 29500
10019 2//// 3//// 4552/ 50630 60021 46424 29500
10022 2//// 3//// 4542/ 50910 60050 10809 19410
10024 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50020 60003 35827 00000
10025 2//// 3//// 471// 50010 60001 10117 00000
10026 2//// 3//// 4432/ 50200 60013 13920 03000
99999
USSPS 32404 07084 11632 26059 45025 57517 27048 36921 51615 28001
40815 1/802 29033 12011 27627 30005 15320 24405
USSPS 81202 08007 15022 22058 45723 37523 23030 37819 54508 24034
11411 44545 25001 42213 0/101 27013 44519 21410 28002 35527 01203
USSPS 31405 08092 15232 18017 38217 44404 19063 46424 55521 22091
10809 45550 24002 35827 12303 25001 10117 1/901 26020 13920 35413
UMAGF 30503 10308 1004/ 07063 1/017 21212 34321
UMAGF 31523 10308 ///// 0700/ 1/012 22212 32244
UCMEO 93001 10307 2130/ 10307 61448 82042 2431/ 117// 333// 40634
10307 61348 81415 12111 11166 1112/ 99999 PLAIN UCMEO 93001 10307
2330/ 10307 62000 82206 1741/ 173// 333// 42180 10307 61928 82030
45824 11164 1112/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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