| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 18.02.11 23:06l 277 Lines 9110 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : I2LOK0NAG00R
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<DB0RES<DK0WUE<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110218/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
X-barracuda-apparent-source-ip: 147.231.106.1
Date: 18 Feb 2011 22:02:48 +0000
X-barracuda-spam-score: 1.34
X-asg-debug-id: 1298066249-01a3c01ddb05fb0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 18 Feb 2011 22:04:51.0203 (UTC) FILETIME=[DD7BBD30:01CBCFB7]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-barracuda-spam-status: No, SCORE=1.34 using global scores of TAG_LEVEL=1000.0 QUARANTINE_LEVEL=1000.0 KILL_LEVEL=9.0 tests=HTML_MESSAGE, MIME_BASE64_TEXT, MIME_QP_LONG_LINE
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.361
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-spam-report: Code version 3.2, rules version 3.2.2.55726Rule breakdown below pts rule name description---- ---------------------- --------------------------------------------------0.00 HTML_MESSAGE BODY: HTML included in message0.52 MIME_BASE64_TEXT RAW: Mes
sage text disguised using base64 encoding0.82 MIME_QP_LONG_LINE RAW: Quoted-printable line longer than 76 chars
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1298066249
----boundary_88508_41cf332a-722b-462f-bfcf-aa7b6bf0c651
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Feb 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 049 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Feb 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z
to 18/2100Z: Solar activity was high during the past 24 hours.
Region 1158 (S19W64) produced several C-class events with a C1 at
17/2135Z that was associated with a Type II Sweep and an M1 event at
18/1303Z. Region 1161 (N12W02) grew slightly in area and maintained
a beta-gamma magnetic classification. New Region 1162 (N18W06) was
numbered today and developed rapidly into a Dai-type sunspot group
with a beta-gamma magnetic classification. The bulk of the activity
originated from this new region, including two M1 events and an M6
event at 18/1011Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
moderate with a chance for isolated high level activity for the next
three days (19-21 February).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active with an isolated minor
storm period at high latitudes. This activity was due to the
effects of the CMEs associated with two M-class events and an
X-class event observed from 13-15 February. A sudden impulse of 33
nT was observed at 18/0136Z at the Boulder magnetometer in
association with this event. The ACE spacecraft indicated solar wind
velocities increased to approximately 700 km/s along with a
sustained period of southward Bz between -10 and -15 nT from
18/0200-0300Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods for day one (19 February) due to the residual effects of the
recent CMEs. Days two and three (20-21 February) are expected to be
mostly quiet.
III. Event Probabilities 19 Feb-21 Feb
Class M 75/75/75
Class X 15/15/15
Proton 10/10/10
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 Feb 125
Predicted 19 Feb-21 Feb 120/120/110
90 Day Mean 18 Feb 086
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Feb 005/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Feb 018/022
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Feb-21 Feb 010/012-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Feb-21 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/15/05
Minor storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 25/20/05
Minor storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_88508_41cf332a-722b-462f-bfcf-aa7b6bf0c651
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_88508_41cf332a-722b-462f-bfcf-aa7b6bf0c651--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
