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OK0NAG > SOLAR    03.02.11 15:47l 95 Lines 3251 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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__________________________________________________________________________


Solar-activity forecast for the period Feb 4 -10, 2010

Activity level: very low to low
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 77-85 f.u.
Flares: weak (0-9/day)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 11-45

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch(at)asu.cas.cz
(RWC Prague)
__________________________________________________________________________


Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Feb 4 to Feb 10, 2011

quiet: Feb 6, 7 and 8
quiet to unsettled: Feb 9
unsettled: Feb 5 and 10
unsettled to active: Feb 4
active: 0
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary:
                  geomagnetic field was quiet from 
                  Jan 27 to 31 and Feb 2, unsettled on Feb 1.  

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept, 
Czech Republic 
e-mail: geom(at)ig.cas.cz
__________________________________________________________________________


Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

Geomagnetic field during the following solar rotation should be:

active to disturbed: -
unsettled to active: Mar 2
quiet to unsettled: Feb 3 - 4, 7, 10, 15 - 16, 21 - 22, 28, Mar 1
mostly quiet: Feb 5 - 6, 9, 12 - 13, 20, 24 - 25,
quiet: Feb 8, 11, 14, 17 - 19, 23, 26 - 27

Survey:  quiet: Jan 27, 29 - 30,
         mostly quiet: Jan 26, 28, 31, Feb 2
         quiet to unsettled: -
         quiet to active: Feb 1
         quiet to minor storm: -
         quiet to disturbed: -
         mostly unsettled: -
         unsettled to active: -
         unsettled to minor storm: -
         minor to major storm: -
         active to disturbed: -
         disturbed: -

   Notices:
        High probability of changes in solar wind which may caused
        changes in magnetosphere and ionosphere is expected for
        February 4 - 5, 10 - 11, (13, 15 -) 16, (21,) 28 and March 1.
        Days in brackets refer to a lower probability of possible
        activity enhancements depending on previous development
        on the Sun. Present forecasts are unreliable.

F. K. Janda (OK1HH), Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: ok1hh(at)rsys.cz
__________________________________________________________________________






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