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OK0NAG > SOLAR 24.01.11 23:04l 209 Lines 6410 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Jan 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 024 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jan 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z: Solar activity was at low levels. Region 1149 (N16W45)
produced a C1 flare at 24/0615Z. Region 1149 is currently a Dsi-beta
group, with a significant drop in spot count. Region 1147 (N24W49)
produced a few low-level B-class flares and remains an Hsx-alpha
group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low, with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels, with isolated unsettled levels
possible at high latitudes, for the next three days (25-27 January).
III. Event Probabilities 25 Jan-27 Jan
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Jan 083
Predicted 25 Jan-27 Jan 083/083/082
90 Day Mean 24 Jan 084
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jan 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Jan 002/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Jan-27 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jan-27 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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