|
OK0NAG > SOLAR 05.01.11 00:03l 236 Lines 7260 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 41LOK0NAG00R
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<F6IQF<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 110104/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 4 Jan 2011 22:03:23 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1294178310-065801190001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 04 Jan 2011 22:04:27.0890 (UTC) FILETIME=[5AFFB520:01CBAC5B]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.396
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1294178310
----boundary_214596_2863387d-8e05-40c7-848a-f37f19d194e3
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2011 Jan 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 004 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jan 2011
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z: Solar activity was at low levels during the period. A
C1/Sf was observed from Region 1142 (S12W05) at 03/2335Z while
Region 1141 (N35W64) produced a C1 at 04/0325Z. During the period,
Region 1141 grew in both area and extent while developing penumbra
on both poles. Region 1142 decreased slightly in area and extent,
but increased in spot count. Both these regions retained a bi-polar
magnetic configuration. Region 1140 (N34E14) remained relatively
unchanged.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
predominately very low to low levels during the forecast period (05
- 07 January) with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels during day 1 (05 January) of the
forecast period. Activity is expected to increase to quiet to
unsettled levels on days 2 and 3 (06 - 07 January) as a recurrent
coronal hole high speed stream begins to disturb the field.
III. Event Probabilities 05 Jan-07 Jan
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 Jan 091
Predicted 05 Jan-07 Jan 092/090/090
90 Day Mean 04 Jan 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jan 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jan 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jan-07 Jan 005/005-007/007-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jan-07 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/10/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/20
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_214596_2863387d-8e05-40c7-848a-f37f19d194e3
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_214596_2863387d-8e05-40c7-848a-f37f19d194e3--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |