| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 06.12.10 00:05l 229 Lines 7114 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 5CKOK0NAG00V
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 101205/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 5 Dec 2010 22:04:36 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1291586421-066c23030001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 05 Dec 2010 22:05:00.0937 (UTC) FILETIME=[764DC790:01CB94C8]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.421
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-fingerprint-found: *Unknown-162171807 (55463a8d0ea0cdc8487fa68e50c34fc0-2621-htm)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1291586421
----boundary_583687_3de31339-6224-4ae6-a322-973ea1d0298f
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Dec 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 339 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Dec 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low. New Regions 1132
(N12W15), a Dro-Beta type, and Region 1133 (N14E58), an Hrx-Beta
type, spot groups were numbered today. Occasional B class x-ray
events were observed during the period. Region 1132 produced the
periods largest activity with a B5 class x-ray event at 24/2111Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be
predominately very low with a chance for isolated C class events
from Region 1132 for the next three days (06-08 December).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on days one and two (06-07 December). Day three
(08 December) is expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight
chance for isolated active conditions late in the period. The
increase in activity is forecast due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream becoming geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 06 Dec-08 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Dec 088
Predicted 06 Dec-08 Dec 089/089/089
90 Day Mean 05 Dec 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Dec 001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Dec 001/001
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Dec-08 Dec 005/005-005/005-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Dec-08 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/10
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/15
Minor storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_583687_3de31339-6224-4ae6-a322-973ea1d0298f
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_583687_3de31339-6224-4ae6-a322-973ea1d0298f--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
