| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 03.12.10 00:04l 224 Lines 6824 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 2CKOK0NAG00T
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0POW<OK0NAG
Sent: 101202/2204z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 2 Dec 2010 22:03:34 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1291327159-066116810001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 02 Dec 2010 22:03:55.0327 (UTC) FILETIME=[CFF53CF0:01CB926C]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.423
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1291327159
----boundary_556462_74957472-fbea-4934-a030-44bb8fc16bad
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Dec 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 336 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Dec 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z: Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours.
New Region 1131 (N30E68) was numbered during the period and is an
Hsx-Alpha type spot group. Region 1130 (N14W52) remained stable and
quiet throughout the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (03-05 December) with a chance for
isolated C-class flares from Region 1130.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods during the next three days (03-05 December) due to possible
effects from a CME associated with the disappearing filament
observed on 29 November. The CME observed near N15E40 on 30
November may also contribute to elevated activity throughout the
period.
III. Event Probabilities 03 Dec-05 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Dec 087
Predicted 03 Dec-05 Dec 090/090/090
90 Day Mean 02 Dec 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Dec 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Dec 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Dec-05 Dec 010/010-008/008-007/007
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Dec-05 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/15
Minor storm 15/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/25/20
Minor storm 15/10/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_556462_74957472-fbea-4934-a030-44bb8fc16bad
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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=----boundary_556462_74957472-fbea-4934-a030-44bb8fc16bad--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
