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OK0NAG > SOLAR    01.12.10 15:22l 106 Lines 3571 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Wed, 1 Dec 2010 13:20:48 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2010 Dec 01 1319 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#


GEOALERT BRU335
UGEOA 30512 01201 1232/ 9930/
10012 21012 30012
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 01 Dec 2010 until 03 Dec 
2010
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Dec 2010  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 001
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Dec 2010  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 001
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Dec 2010  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 016
COMMENT: A CME arrival is possible on Nov 3-4. The CME is linked with
the filament eruption late Nov 28. We have no correct estimate of the
CME speed. According to the magnetic configuration of the source region

at the moment of the ejection, we expect a weak interference with the
earth magnetic field (in case of arrival). Active conditions are
possible. Another plasma eruption took place on Nov 30, 17:43UT in the

east of the solar disk. Evidence for this was a coronal dimming and an

EUV-wave. The source region has no NOAA or Catania numbering. The CME is

visible in beacon STEREOA/COR2 and HI1 data. It is propagating slightly

above the ecliptic and to the east. A glancing blow is possible: we
might pass through the shock leading the ICME. We don't expect much
interference with the earth magnetic field.



TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 014, BASED ON 03 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 01201 1232/ 30///
10042 20860 3004/ 4//// 80102 90210
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania 
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 01201 1232/ 01/11 01102
10072 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50240 60022 43113 03000
10074 2//// 3//// 474// 50050 60001 18733 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 30165 02522 07021 42212 34415 
USSPS 81202 01003 02842 07028 42514 34418 
USSPS 31405 01110 04342 72024 43113 24422 74005 18733 4/801 
UMAGF 30503 01201 1004/ 30063 1/006 20111 31120 
UMAGF 31523 01131 ///// 3000/ 1/004 22111 31112 
 
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #

# Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #

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