| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 31.10.10 23:01l 246 Lines 7530 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : VAKOK0NAG00W
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0NAG
Sent: 101031/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 31 Oct 2010 22:00:50 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1288562203-0671f38d0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 31 Oct 2010 22:27:40.0156 (UTC) FILETIME=[D400E3C0:01CB794A]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.454
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1288562203
----boundary_189119_e38aa62b-ef90-49f6-81d0-15ea4ec6c7e2
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Oct 31 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 304 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Oct 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z
to 31/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1117 (N22W83) produced
two C-class events during the period. The largest of these was a C5
flare at 31/0431Z. Region 1120 (N40E53) showed an increase in areal
coverage and was classified as a Cro-beta spot group. No new regions
were numbered.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for days one and two (01-02 November). Activity is
expected to decrease to very low levels on day three (03 November)
as Region 1117 rotates off the solar disk.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to active levels, with a slight chance for a
minor storm period at high latitudes, on day one (01 November). The
increase in activity is expected due to a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream. Activity is expected to decrease to quiet to
unsettled levels, with active levels at high latitudes, on day two
(02 November). Predominantly quiet levels are expected on day three
(03 November).
III. Event Probabilities 01 Nov-03 Nov
Class M 15/15/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 31 Oct 081
Predicted 01 Nov-03 Nov 079/078/078
90 Day Mean 31 Oct 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Oct 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Oct 005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Nov-03 Nov 010/010-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Nov-03 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/05
Minor storm 10/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/25/10
Minor storm 15/10/01
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_189119_e38aa62b-ef90-49f6-81d0-15ea4ec6c7e2
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_189119_e38aa62b-ef90-49f6-81d0-15ea4ec6c7e2--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
