| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.10.10 23:01l 238 Lines 7298 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : TAKOK0NAG01A
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<OK0PTU<OK0NAG
Sent: 101029/2202z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 29 Oct 2010 22:01:50 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1288389467-0671b8e10001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 29 Oct 2010 22:28:38.0140 (UTC) FILETIME=[A1BD0BC0:01CB77B8]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-barracuda-bbl-ip: nil
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.455
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1288389467
----boundary_167354_ab6982a4-ddbe-4484-86cd-e13da1fd457f
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Oct 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 302 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Oct 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z: Solar activity remained at very low levels. Region 1117
(N20W55) produced occasional B-class flares during the period. The
largest of these was a B4 flare at 29/1732Z. Region 1117 showed a
decrease in areal coverage and sunspot count. No new regions were
numbered during the period.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels, with a slight chance for an M-class event
from Region 1117.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the first day (30
October) due to a weak CME observed on 26 October. Activity is
expected to decrease to quiet levels on the second day (31 October).
Quiet to active levels are expected on the third day (01 November),
with a slight chance for a minor storm period at high latitudes.
The increase in activity is expected due to a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 30 Oct-01 Nov
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Oct 086
Predicted 30 Oct-01 Nov 084/084/082
90 Day Mean 29 Oct 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Oct 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Oct 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Oct-01 Nov 007/007-005/005-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Oct-01 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/01/25
Minor storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/01/30
Minor storm 01/01/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_167354_ab6982a4-ddbe-4484-86cd-e13da1fd457f
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_167354_ab6982a4-ddbe-4484-86cd-e13da1fd457f--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
