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OK0NAG > SOLAR 27.10.10 15:11l 112 Lines 3837 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Wed, 27 Oct 2010 13:10:39 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2010 Oct 27 1309 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU300
UGEOA 30512 01027 1253/ 9930/
11272 20272 30272
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 27 Oct 2010 until 29 Oct
2010
PREDICTIONS FOR 27 Oct 2010 10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Oct 2010 10CM FLUX: 085 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Oct 2010 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 007
COMMENT: There were no C flares recorded since the last forecast, still
NOAA AR 1117 has potential for producing C-class and even M-class
flares. There have been three CMEs seen leaving the Sun. The first one
around 00:48 UT (on LASCO/C2) on Oct 26 originated most probably from
NOAA AR 1115. Even though it is mostly directed towards the south, a
glancing encounter with the Earth is possible around Oct 30. The second
one was a narrow CME originating from a prominence eruption in the
northwest limb that erupted about 09:00 UT on Oct 26 (seen first at
10:48 UT on C2), it is not expected to affect the Earth. The last CME,
also not supposed to be geoeffective, occurred this morning. It was
first seen at 07:48 UT by LASCO/C2, after a data gap. The solar wind
speed is down to 500 km/s at the L1 point, geomagnetic conditions are
expected to be quiet for the next 48 hours.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 030, BASED ON 09 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 01027 1253/ 26///
10092 20860 3012/ 4//// 80005 90660
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 01027 1253/ 27/06 27103
10052 2//// 3//// 472// 50050 60001 38230 00000
10054 2//// 3//// 472// 50080 60001 41923 15200
10056 2//// 3//// 4542/ 50560 60025 41820 15200
99999
USSPS 32404 26096 04622 82006 36930 2/801 84030 40722 37415
USSPS 21305 26157 06542 90012 37033 3/801 93036 41020 54533 95001
44421 01101
USSPS 81202 27013 06022 88012 37528 2/801 93054 41523 54428 95001
44724 0/101
USSPS 31405 27067 05752 52005 38230 2X901 54008 41923 2X901 56056
41820 44525
UMAGF 30503 01027 0955/ 26068 1/020 22223 34311
UMAGF 31523 01027 ///// 2600/ 1/012 23222 32343
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