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OK0NAG > SOLAR 18.09.10 00:04l 209 Lines 6269 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 17 Sep 2010 22:02:37 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Sep 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 260 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Sep 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z: Solar activity ranged from very low to low. Region
1108 (S28E59) produced the largest event of the period, a C1/Sf at
17/0122Z. Additionally, Region 1108 and Region 1106 (S20W08)
produced several B-class events, along with numerous low frequency
radio activity.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance of moderate activity from Region 1108.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
Geomagnetic activity was quiet to unsettled with an isolated active
period observed at 17/0600Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet for the next three days (18 - 20
September).
III. Event Probabilities 18 Sep-20 Sep
Class M 25/25/25
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 Sep 082
Predicted 18 Sep-20 Sep 085/086/086
90 Day Mean 17 Sep 079
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Sep 005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Sep 008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Sep-20 Sep 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Sep-20 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/10
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/15
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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