| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.09.10 01:03l 216 Lines 6582 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : E9KOK0NAG00O
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NAG
Sent: 100914/2302z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 14 Sep 2010 23:02:01 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1284505108-0668a60c0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 14 Sep 2010 23:27:50.0281 (UTC) FILETIME=[7263FF90:01CB5464]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.497
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1284505108
----boundary_210644_74d670ad-4c7d-4a61-841a-048e239ab9a8
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Sep 14 2257 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
:::::::::: CORRECTED COPY ::::::::::
SDF Number 257 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Sep 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low. The disk was quiet
and stable. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a chance for an isolated C-class event from Region 1106
(N19E30).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet on day one (15 September). Quiet
to unsettled conditions with isolated active periods are expected on
day two (16 September) due to the arrival of the CME observed on
September 11. Day three is expected to be predominately unsettled
with isolated active periods, as a recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream becomes geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Sep-17 Sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Sep 081
Predicted 15 Sep-17 Sep 082/083/083
90 Day Mean 14 Sep 078
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Sep 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Sep 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Sep-17 Sep 005/005-012/012-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Sep-17 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/15
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/20
Minor storm 10/15/15
Major-severe storm 01/10/10
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_210644_74d670ad-4c7d-4a61-841a-048e239ab9a8
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_210644_74d670ad-4c7d-4a61-841a-048e239ab9a8--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
