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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.08.10 21:11l 108 Lines 3704 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU227
UGEOA 30512 00815 1230/ 9930/
10152 20152 30152
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 15 Aug 2010 until 17 Aug
2010
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Aug 2010 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Aug 2010 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 001
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Aug 2010 10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 004
COMMENT: NOAA active regions 1099 and 1093 continue to show flaring
activity with a C1.6 flare peaking at 18h08 yesterday being the most
intense one up till now. Another CME lifted off this morning seen on
STEREO A COR2 data staring at 9h24. Again we do not have much data yet,
but expect the shock to arrive around at Earth on August 18. The CME of
August 14 caused a minor radio storm (S1) and was accompanied by an EUV
wave and a radio shock. Solar activity is expected to be at low levels,
with a chance for another C flare. Geomagnetic conditions will be quiet
to unsettled due to a coronal wind stream. On August 17 the CME seen on
August 14 is supposed to arrive, but we do not expect major geomagnetic
disturbances.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 028, BASED ON 05 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 00815 1230/ 14///
1//// 20850 3004/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 00815 1230/ 13/05 15103
10012 2//// 3//// 472// 50150 60003 44010 01000
10018 2//// 3//// 4311/ 50030 60008 10915 00000
10019 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50030 60010 43419 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 14080 ///32 55005 45711 20802 61006 45018 21309
USSPS 21305 14154 ///32 66007 46211 20804 71006 45518 01211
USSPS 81202 15043 ///22 63005 46812 20802 69006 46219 01212
UMAGF 30503 00815 0955/ 14067 1/008 20111 31122
UMAGF 31523 00815 ///// 1400/ 1/004 21112 31211
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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