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OK0NAG > SOLAR 02.08.10 14:59l 106 Lines 3817 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Mon, 2 Aug 2010 12:50:03 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU214
UGEOA 30512 00802 1214/ 9930/
10022 21022 30022
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 02 Aug 2010 until 04 Aug
2010
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Aug 2010 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Aug 2010 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 022
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Aug 2010 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 022
COMMENT: Solar activity is expected to be mostly quiet with possible
risks of C class flares from NOAA AR 1092. Geomagnetic acvity is
expected to be unsettled to active by the end of Aug. 2nd due to the
arrival of a halo CME linked to the long duration event of Aug. 1st.
Coronagraphic observations show actually a complex CME event, with a
fast component linked to the flaring event of NOAA AR 1092 (C class
flare) and subsequently, a slower component linked to a polar crown
filament eruption, to the north of this active region. SWAP observations
show that the fast component might not be completely Earth directed.
Arrival of the CME at the Earth orbit is expected for the end of Aug.
2nd. The filament eruption seems more favorable in terms of geomagnetic
effects, and is expected to trigger geomagnetic disturbances on Aug. 4.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 014, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 00802 1214/ 01///
1//// 20803 3006/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 00802 1214/ 02/05 02101
10009 2//// 3//// 4741/ 50240 60024 12014 04000
99999
USSPS 32404 01062 ///22 54020 13516 41305
USSPS 21305 01141 ///42 63029 12612 50803
USSPS 81202 02041 ///22 62022 12216 21310
USSPS 31405 02059 03452 09024 12014 43724
UMAGF 30503 00802 0955/ 01068 1/008 21111 31212
UMAGF 31523 00802 ///// 0100/ 1/006 21122 32222
UCMEO 93001 00801 1845/ 00801 71418 91718 0091/ 008// 113// 10425
00801 60725 81005 13520 11092 1222/ 99999 PLAIN
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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