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Date: Sat, 15 Mar 2008 22:02:06 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Mar 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 075 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Mar 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New region 986 (S04W41)
was numbered today. It was initially a Bxo Beta magnetic class, but
has since deteriorated to an Alpha magnetic class.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high
levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active on days one and two (16-17 March) due
to the continued influence of a coronal hole high speed stream.
Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on day three (18 March)
as the effects of the high speed stream subside.
III. Event Probabilities 16 Mar-18 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Mar 070
Predicted 16 Mar-18 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 15 Mar 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Mar 012/013
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Mar 012/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Mar-18 Mar 010/010-010/010-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Mar-18 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/30/20
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 40/40/25
Minor storm 10/10/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
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to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
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