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OK0NAG > SOLAR 14.03.08 23:30l 71 Lines 2750 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Fri, 14 Mar 2008 22:02:05 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Mar 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 074 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Mar 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was very low.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on day 1 (15 March) in response to a
slackening of the solar wind indicated by the STEREO Behind
spacecraft. Quiet to unsettled levels return on days 2 and 3 (16-17
March) as the solar wind speeds approach 600 km/s.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Mar 070
Predicted 15 Mar-17 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 14 Mar 072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Mar 011/014
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Mar 008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Mar-17 Mar 005/005-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Mar-17 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/30/30
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/40/40
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. For problems, contact:
mailto:pss.help@noaa.gov.
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