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OK0NAG > SOLAR 06.07.10 00:14l 222 Lines 6718 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 5 Jul 2010 22:04:09 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jul 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 186 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jul 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 1086 (N18W53)
formed on the disk as a simple beta sunspot group. A CME was
observed lifting off behind the NE limb late in the period. SOHO
LASCO C2 imagery first observed this event at 05/1754Z, as well as
STEREO-B COR2 imagery shortly afterwards at 05/1810Z. The CME
appears to be associated with old Region 1082 (N27, L=305) due to
return on 10 July.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during the next three days (06
- 08 July).
III. Event Probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Jul 073
Predicted 06 Jul-08 Jul 074/074/074
90 Day Mean 05 Jul 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jul 005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jul 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jul-08 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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