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OK0NAG > SOLAR 18.06.10 00:05l 213 Lines 6475 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 17 Jun 2010 22:00:40 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jun 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 168 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Jun 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 1082 (N28E33)
produced a B5/Sf x-ray event at 17/1023Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next 3 days (18-20 June).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with a few isolated
periods of active conditions at mid latitudes. Solar wind speeds
remain near 520 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
forecast to be quiet to unsettled with the chance for an isolated
period of active conditions on day 1 (18 June). Conditions are
forecast to be mostly quiet on days 2 and 3 (19-20 June).
III. Event Probabilities 18 Jun-20 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 Jun 070
Predicted 18 Jun-20 Jun 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 17 Jun 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Jun 013/019
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Jun 010/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Jun-20 Jun 008/010-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Jun-20 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 40/30/30
Minor storm 20/05/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 50/30/30
Minor storm 30/05/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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