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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.06.10 00:06l 202 Lines 6117 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 14 Jun 2010 22:00:30 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jun 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 165 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jun 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1081 (N25W86) produced a
C1.5 X-ray event at 14/1047Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low for days 1-3 (15-17 June). Region 1081 has decayed to a Bxo Beta
region.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods for days 1-3 (15-17 June). A large southern pole extension
coronal hole is expected to become geoeffecive late day 1.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Jun-17 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Jun 073
Predicted 15 Jun-17 Jun 072/072/070
90 Day Mean 14 Jun 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jun 005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jun 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jun-17 Jun 008/008-010/012-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jun-17 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 50/50/50
Minor storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 60/60/60
Minor storm 30/30/30
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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