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OK0NAG > SOLAR 12.06.10 14:42l 116 Lines 4182 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Sat, 12 Jun 2010 12:36:23 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU163
UGEOA 30512 00612 1227/ 9930/
11122 20122 30122
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 12 Jun 2010 until 14 Jun
2010
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Jun 2010 10CM FLUX: 076 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Jun 2010 10CM FLUX: 078 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Jun 2010 10CM FLUX: 080 / AP: 003
COMMENT: Solar activity is on the increase. A new active region emerged
yesterday in the North-West quadrant (Catania #87, NOAA11081) and
quickly produced an M2.0 flare on 00:55 UT and an associated EIT wave
and CME. New activity is also approaching from behind the East limb,
with also a slow limb CME observed over the last 24 hours. New C flares
are likely to occur over the next days, with a chance for other M flares.
The solar wind monitored at Earth by ACE remains slow and weakly
magnetized which keeps the geomagnetic field at quiet levels. However,
a
large trans-equatotrial coronal hole is now about to cross the central
meridian and should start to influence the Earth by June 15. Since the
last solar rotation, it has grown significantly from a couple of
separate holes located at mid-latitude in each hemisphere. We can thus
expect a larger geomagnetic disturbance from the associated fast solar
wind stream than on previous rotations.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 032, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 00612 1227/ 11///
10062 20750 3005/ 4//// 80104 90250
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
12 0030 0057 0102 N23W43 M2.0 SN 130 II/2,II/2
87 1081 EIT wave and limb CME
END
UGEOR 30512 00612 1227/ 12/07 12103
10086 2//// 3//// 4422/ 50040 60005 35622 02000
10087 2//// 3//// 4412/ 50080 60018 44723 16200
10088 2//// 3//// 410// 50010 60001 37124 00000
99999
USSPS 32404 11059 ///32 37007 38021 21402 39004 34522 21404 40000
46219 00101
USSPS 21305 11133 ///42 45001 37922 00101 47014 34924 34404 48010
43822 01208 49003 46519 00101
USSPS 81202 12038 ///12 43001 37223 00101 46006 35623 21405 47014
44825 34414
USSPS 31405 12078 05452 86004 35622 25405 87008 44723 14418 88001
37124 0X101
UMAGF 30503 00612 0955/ 11069 1/009 22222 30101
UMAGF 31523 00612 ///// 1100/ 1/005 22211 32211
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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