|
OK0NAG > SOLAR 08.06.10 00:07l 233 Lines 7206 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 76KOK0NAG00V
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<F6IQF<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 100607/2203z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 7 Jun 2010 22:02:59 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1275948023-065282fb0001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 07 Jun 2010 22:26:38.0281 (UTC) FILETIME=[7ED00390:01CB0690]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.601
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1275948023
----boundary_200011_3f97704a-8646-4812-860b-71f4dc16dcf9
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jun 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 158 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jun 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No significant flares were
observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for a C-class event over the next 3 days
(8-10 June).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet over the past 24 hours with
the exception of an isolated period of unsettled conditions between
06/21Z and 07/00Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with an isolated period of minor
storming possible on day 1 (8 June). This activity is due to the
high speed stream from a coronal hole as well as a possible CME
arrival from a disappearing filament on 3 June. On day 2 (9 June)
the chance for active conditions early in the period exists.
Otherwise, mostly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected.
Conditions are forecasted to return to quiet on day 3 (10 June).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Jun-10 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 07 Jun 068
Predicted 08 Jun-10 Jun 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 07 Jun 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jun 005/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jun 006/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jun-10 Jun 010/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jun-10 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 50/50/25
Minor storm 25/25/15
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 50/50/25
Minor storm 30/30/05
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_200011_3f97704a-8646-4812-860b-71f4dc16dcf9
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64
PCFET0NUWVBFIEhUTUwgUFVCTElDICItLy9XM0MvL0RURCBIVE1MIDQuMCBUcmFuc2l0aW9u
YWwvL0VOIj48SFRNTD48SEVBRD48TUVUQSBodHRwLWVxdWl2PUNvbnRlbnQtVHlwZSBjb250
ZW50PSJ0ZXh0L2h0bWw7IGNoYXJzZXQ9aXNvLTg4NTktMSI+PC9IRUFEPjxCT0RZPjxQUkU+
OlByb2R1Y3Q6IFJlcG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhci1HZW9waHlzaWNhbCBBY3Rpdml0eQ0KOklzc3Vl
ZDogMjAxMCBKdW4gMDcgMjIwMCBVVEMNCiMgUHJlcGFyZWQgam9pbnRseSBieSB0aGUgVS5T
LiBEZXB0LiBvZiBDb21tZXJjZSwgTk9BQSwNCiMgU3BhY2UgV2VhdGhlciBQcmVkaWN0aW9u
IENlbnRlciBhbmQgdGhlIFUuUy4gQWlyIEZvcmNlLg0KIw0KSm9pbnQgVVNBRi9OT0FBIFJl
cG9ydCBvZiBTb2xhciBhbmQgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0aXZpdHkNClNERiBOdW1iZXIgMTU4
IElzc3VlZCBhdCAyMjAwWiBvbiAwNyBKdW4gMjAxMA0KSUEuICBBbmFseXNpcyBvZiBTb2xh
ciBBY3RpdmUgUmVnaW9ucyBhbmQgQWN0aXZpdHkgZnJvbSAgMDYvMjEwMFoNCnRvIDA3LzIx
MDBaOiAgU29sYXIgYWN0aXZpdHkgd2FzIHZlcnkgbG93LiBObyBzaWduaWZpY2FudCBmbGFy
ZXMgd2VyZQ0Kb2JzZXJ2ZWQgZHVyaW5nIHRoZSBwYXN0IDI0IGhvdXJzLg0KSUIuICBTb2xh
ciBBY3Rpdml0eSBGb3JlY2FzdDogIFNvbGFyIGFjdGl2aXR5IGlzIGV4cGVjdGVkIHRvIGJl
IHZlcnkNCmxvdyB3aXRoIGEgc2xpZ2h0IGNoYW5jZSBmb3IgYSBDLWNsYXNzIGV2ZW50IG92
ZXIgdGhlIG5leHQgMyBkYXlzDQooOC0xMCBKdW5lKS4NCklJQS4gIEdlb3BoeXNpY2FsIEFj
dGl2aXR5IFN1bW1hcnkgMDYvMjEwMFogdG8gMDcvMjEwMFo6DQpUaGUgZ2VvbWFnbmV0aWMg
ZmllbGQgd2FzIG1vc3RseSBxdWlldCBvdmVyIHRoZSBwYXN0IDI0IGhvdXJzIHdpdGgNCnRo
ZSBleGNlcHRpb24gb2YgYW4gaXNvbGF0ZWQgcGVyaW9kIG9mIHVuc2V0dGxlZCBjb25kaXRp
b25zIGJldHdlZW4NCjA2LzIxWiBhbmQgMDcvMDBaLiAgVGhlIGdyZWF0ZXIgdGhhbiAyIE1l
ViBlbGVjdHJvbiBmbHV4IGF0DQpnZW9zeW5jaHJvbm91cyBvcmJpdCB3YXMgYXQgaGlnaCBs
ZXZlbHMgZHVyaW5nIHRoZSBwYXN0IDI0IGhvdXJzLg0KSUlCLiAgR2VvcGh5c2ljYWwgQWN0
aXZpdHkgRm9yZWNhc3Q6ICBUaGUgZ2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgZmllbGQgaXMNCmV4cGVjdGVkIHRv
IGJlIHVuc2V0dGxlZCB0byBhY3RpdmUgd2l0aCBhbiBpc29sYXRlZCBwZXJpb2Qgb2YgbWlu
b3INCnN0b3JtaW5nIHBvc3NpYmxlIG9uIGRheSAxICg4IEp1bmUpLiBUaGlzIGFjdGl2aXR5
IGlzIGR1ZSB0byB0aGUNCmhpZ2ggc3BlZWQgc3RyZWFtIGZyb20gYSBjb3JvbmFsIGhvbGUg
YXMgd2VsbCBhcyBhIHBvc3NpYmxlIENNRQ0KYXJyaXZhbCBmcm9tIGEgZGlzYXBwZWFyaW5n
IGZpbGFtZW50IG9uIDMgSnVuZS4gT24gZGF5IDIgKDkgSnVuZSkNCnRoZSBjaGFuY2UgZm9y
IGFjdGl2ZSBjb25kaXRpb25zIGVhcmx5IGluIHRoZSBwZXJpb2QgZXhpc3RzLg0KT3RoZXJ3
aXNlLCBtb3N0bHkgcXVpZXQgdG8gdW5zZXR0bGVkIGNvbmRpdGlvbnMgYXJlIGV4cGVjdGVk
LiANCkNvbmRpdGlvbnMgYXJlIGZvcmVjYXN0ZWQgdG8gcmV0dXJuIHRvIHF1aWV0IG9uIGRh
eSAzICgxMCBKdW5lKS4NCklJSS4gIEV2ZW50IFByb2JhYmlsaXRpZXMgMDggSnVuLTEwIEp1
bg0KQ2xhc3MgTSAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KQ2xhc3MgWCAgICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KUHJvdG9uICAg
ICAwMS8wMS8wMQ0KUENBRiAgICAgICBHcmVlbg0KSVYuICBQZW50aWN0b24gMTAuNyBjbSBG
bHV4DQpPYnNlcnZlZCAgICAgICAgICAgMDcgSnVuIDA2OA0KUHJlZGljdGVkICAgMDggSnVu
LTEwIEp1biAgMDY4LzA2OC8wNjgNCjkwIERheSBNZWFuICAgICAgICAwNyBKdW4gMDc3DQpW
LiAgR2VvbWFnbmV0aWMgQSBJbmRpY2VzDQpPYnNlcnZlZCBBZnIvQXAgMDYgSnVuICAwMDUv
MDA3DQpFc3RpbWF0ZWQgQWZyL0FwIDA3IEp1biAgMDA2LzAwNQ0KUHJlZGljdGVkIEFmci9B
cCAwOCBKdW4tMTAgSnVuICAwMTAvMDEwLTAwOC8wMDgtMDA1LzAwNQ0KVkkuICBHZW9tYWdu
ZXRpYyBBY3Rpdml0eSBQcm9iYWJpbGl0aWVzIDA4IEp1bi0xMCBKdW4NCkEuICBNaWRkbGUg
TGF0aXR1ZGVzDQpBY3RpdmUgICAgICAgICAgICAgICAgNTAvNTAvMjUNCk1pbm9yIHN0b3Jt
ICAgICAgICAgICAyNS8yNS8xNQ0KTWFqb3Itc2V2ZXJlIHN0b3JtICAgIDA1LzA1LzAxDQpC
LiAgSGlnaCBMYXRpdHVkZXMNCkFjdGl2ZSAgICAgICAgICAgICAgICA1MC81MC8yNQ0KTWlu
b3Igc3Rvcm0gICAgICAgICAgIDMwLzMwLzA1DQpNYWpvci1zZXZlcmUgc3Rvcm0gICAgMDUv
MDUvMDENCjwvUFJFPjxCUj48SFI+VGhhbmsgeW91IGZvciB1c2luZyB0aGUgUHJvZHVjdCBT
dWJzY3JpcHRpb24gU2VydmljZS4gSWYgeW91IHdvdWxkIGxpa2UgdG8gcmVtb3ZlIGEgcHJv
ZHVjdCBzdWJzY3JpcHRpb24gb3IgdXBkYXRlIHRoZSBwZXJzb25hbCBpbmZvcm1hdGlvbiBp
biB5b3VyIGFjY291bnQsIGdvIHRvIHRoZSA8YSBocmVmPSJodHRwczovL3Bzcy5zd3BjLm5v
YWEuZ292Ij5Qcm9kdWN0IFN1YnNjcmlwdGlvbiBTaXRlLjwvYT4gUGxlYXNlIGRvIG5vdCB1
c2UgdGhlIGZyb20gYWRkcmVzcyBmb3IgY29ycmVzcG9uZGVuY2UsIGFzIGl0IGlzIG5vdCBt
b25pdG9yZWQuIEZvciBjb21tZW50cyBvciBoZWxwLCBwbGVhc2UgY29udGFjdCA8YSBocmVm
PSJtYWlsdG86cHNzLmhlbHBAbm9hYS5nb3YiPlNXUEMgSGVscC48L2E+PC9CT0RZPjwvSFRNTD4----boundary_200011_3f97704a-8646-4812-860b-71f4dc16dcf9--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |