| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 06.06.10 00:11l 248 Lines 7755 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 56KOK0NAG00P
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK2XDE<DB0RES<ON4HU<SR1BSZ<DB0ZEH<DK0BLN<DB0TUD<DB0ERF<OK0NAG
Sent: 100605/2206z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 5 Jun 2010 22:05:29 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1275775388-06523c060001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 05 Jun 2010 22:29:05.0671 (UTC) FILETIME=[81D67170:01CB04FE]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.603
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-fingerprint-found: *Unknown-134183278 (a1052c1aae72925949ba1fcafec1b9b8-2896-htm)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1275775388
----boundary_182858_d227d8ca-821d-49f4-9c2a-1da905bb4446
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jun 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 156 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jun 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours. Region 1076 (S19W61) remains quiet and
stable. Newly numbered Region 1077 (N20W47) is an Axx Alpha spot.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
very low with only a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet over the past 24 hours. Solar winds
have decreased to near 450 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain mostly quiet with isolated periods of unsettled
conditions on day 1 (6 June) due to elevated solar wind speeds and
brief periods of Bz south. Quiet to unsettled with intermittent
periods of active conditions are expected on days 2 and 3 (7-8
June). The increase in activity is due in part to weak coronal hole
effects expected on 7 June as well as the possible arrival of a slow
moving CME on 8 June. The CME is from a filament that disappeared on
3 June. A weak halo can be observed on LASCO C3 coronagraph images
from early 4 June as well as STEREO A and B coronagraphs from the
same period.
III. Event Probabilities 06 Jun-08 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Jun 072
Predicted 06 Jun-08 Jun 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 05 Jun 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jun 011/016
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jun 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jun-08 Jun 005/005-008/010-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jun-08 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/25/25
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 25/30/30
Minor storm 10/25/25
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_182858_d227d8ca-821d-49f4-9c2a-1da905bb4446
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_182858_d227d8ca-821d-49f4-9c2a-1da905bb4446--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
