| |
OK0NAG > SOLAR 04.06.10 00:05l 241 Lines 7466 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : 36KOK0NAG00T
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IW0QNL<F6IQF<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 100603/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 3 Jun 2010 22:01:17 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1275602326-0652dbc10001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 03 Jun 2010 22:24:50.0296 (UTC) FILETIME=[94CBCF80:01CB036B]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.606
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1275602326
----boundary_163085_3f052617-bdb0-4a7d-b1c5-993c0812a2de
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Jun 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 154 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jun 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1076 (S19W36) has grown in size and is magnetically
classified as a beta group. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels with a slight chance for C-class events for the
next three days (04-06 June).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels at mid
latitudes with isolated storm periods from 0900Z-1500Z at high
latitudes. Observations from the ACE spacecraft indicate a
continuation of a high speed solar wind stream, with an increase in
solar wind speed from 450 km/s to 550 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a slight chance for
isolated active periods for the next two days (04-05 June).
Activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream on day
one and the arrival of a CME observed on 31 May on day two.
Predominantly quiet conditions are expected on day three (06 June).
III. Event Probabilities 04 Jun-06 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Jun 075
Predicted 04 Jun-06 Jun 075/074/074
90 Day Mean 03 Jun 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jun 004/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jun 010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun 010/010-008/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jun-06 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/20/10
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/25/15
Minor storm 10/10/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_163085_3f052617-bdb0-4a7d-b1c5-993c0812a2de
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_163085_3f052617-bdb0-4a7d-b1c5-993c0812a2de--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
