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OK0NAG > SOLAR 24.05.10 15:00l 118 Lines 4127 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Date: Mon, 24 May 2010 12:54:32 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU144
UGEOA 30512 00524 1214/ 9930/
10242 20242 30242
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 24 May 2010 until 26 May
2010
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 May 2010 10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 May 2010 10CM FLUX: 077 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 May 2010 10CM FLUX: 079 / AP: 004
COMMENT: An eruption in the long filament channel in the northern
hemisphere (the center of the channel is located around N20W10) was
detected by SOHO/EIT starting from 17:00 UT on May 23. It was
accompanied by extended coronal dimmings and a post-eruptive arcade. An
associated long-duration B1.4 flare peaked at 18:43 UT. At the moment of
writing the LASCO data is not available, so it is impossible to
determine if the eruption was accompanied by a halo CME. However, the
associated CME was detected by SECCHI/COR2 onboard both STEREO
spacecraft starting from 17:54 UT. The estimated CME plane-of-the-sky
speed is around 350 km/s. Due to the position of the CME source region
across the central meridian (as seen from the Earth) and angular extent
of the CME crossing the ecliptic plane, we expect the corresponding ICME
to arrive to the Earth late on May 26 - early on May 27. Currently the
Earth is inside the slow (310 km/s) solar wind flow with weak (2-3 nT)
interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions will
remain quiet in the coming hours.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 012, BASED ON 11 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 00524 1214/ 23///
1//// 20750 3002/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania
NOAA NOTE
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 00524 1214/ 24/07 24101
10074 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50180 60016 31314 00000
99999
USSPS 21305 23153 ///42 37011 30515 24414
USSPS 31405 24078 02652 74018 31314 21316
UMAGF 30503 00524 0955/ 23064 1/003 20000 30001
UMAGF 31523 00524 ///// 2300/ 1/002 21100 30111
INDAA 00517
1/020 00800 50120 16016 01600 5/012
2/009 01201 20210 12012 01200 5/012
3/005 00800 80160 24025 01201 2/014
4/038 01201 60160 33024 00802 0/021
5/012 00800 80020 08012 00800 5/008
6/002 00901 20080 02005 00500 2/006
7/005 00200 20020 02002 00200 2/002
END
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium #
# Royal Observatory of Belgium #
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# Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 #
# #
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