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OK0NAG > SOLAR 09.03.08 00:30l 75 Lines 2943 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: Sat, 8 Mar 2008 22:02:14 -0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2008 Mar 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 068 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Mar 2008
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk is
spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to active with isolated minor storm
periods possible on day one (09 March). Isolated major storm periods
are possible at high latitudes during this period. The increase in
activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
Quiet to active levels are expected on days two and three (10-11
March) as the effects of the coronal hole high speed stream begin to
wane.
III. Event Probabilities 09 Mar-11 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Mar 070
Predicted 09 Mar-11 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 08 Mar 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Mar 001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Mar 012/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Mar-11 Mar 020/020-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Mar-11 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 50/30/30
Minor storm 25/15/15
Major-severe storm 15/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 55/35/35
Minor storm 25/20/20
Major-severe storm 15/05/05
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to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
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