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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.05.10 23:08l 205 Lines 6220 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 17 May 2010 22:00:46 +0000
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 May 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 137 Issued at 2200Z on 17 May 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z: Solar activity has been very low. No flares were
observed. The visible disk remained spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very
low through the period (18-20 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet during days one and two (18-19 May), and quiet
to unsettled on day three (20 May) of the period. The increase is
forecast due to the possible onset of a recurrent high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 18 May-20 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 May 069
Predicted 18 May-20 May 070/072/072
90 Day Mean 17 May 080
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 May 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 May 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 May-20 May 005/006-005/006-008/013
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 May-20 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/15
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/20
Minor storm 05/05/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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