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OK0NAG > SOLAR    17.05.10 00:09l 195 Lines 5842 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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Date: 16 May 2010 22:04:36 +0000
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From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
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Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity

:Issued: 2010 May 16 2200 UTC

# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 136 Issued at 2200Z on 16 May 2010

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  15/2100Z

to 16/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.

The visible disk was spotless.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very

low through the period (17 - 19 May).

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:

The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux

at geosynchronous orbit was high during the period.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is

expected to be at quiet levels through the period (17 - 19 May).

III.  Event Probabilities 17 May-19 May

Class M    01/01/01

Class X    01/01/01

Proton     01/01/01

PCAF       Green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux

Observed           16 May 069

Predicted   17 May-19 May  070/072/072

90 Day Mean        16 May 080

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices

Observed Afr/Ap 15 May  002/004

Estimated Afr/Ap 16 May  002/004

Predicted Afr/Ap 17 May-19 May  005/005-005/006-005/006

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 May-19 May

A.  Middle Latitudes

Active                05/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01

B.  High Latitudes

Active                10/05/05

Minor storm           01/01/01

Major-severe storm    01/01/01



Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like 
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in 
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from 
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help, 
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
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