|
OK0NAG > SOLAR 19.04.10 00:03l 232 Lines 7237 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
BID : I4KOK0NAG00X
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
Path: IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<OK0NAG
Sent: 100418/2201z @:OK0NAG.#BOH.CZE.EU [TCP/IP BBS Praha Strahov] bcm2.01e-zia
X-Info: Prijato od 127.0.0.1 za pomoci SMTP gatewaye
X-barracuda-connect: sunkl.asu.cas.cz[147.231.106.1]
Date: 18 Apr 2010 22:00:43 +0000
X-asg-debug-id: 1271627924-11933fa50001-dKRjYV
To: solar@eu
X-originalarrivaltime: 18 Apr 2010 22:23:14.0375 (UTC) FILETIME=[BC9EED70:01CADF45]
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
X-spam-flag: NO
X-spam-score: -0.665
X-barracuda-envelope-from: solar@sunkl.asu.cas.cz
X-barracuda-url: http://147.231.105.99:8000/cgi-mod/mark.cgi
Subject: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-fingerprint-found: *Unknown-126494487 (732cef27502cade3680a0104c874cddd-2681-htm)
X-asg-orig-subj: Report of Solar Geophysical Activity (RSGA)
X-barracuda-start-time: 1271627924
----boundary_282805_43965230-9ab2-46dd-a21a-a73a9c3e9332
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2010 Apr 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 108 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Apr 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z
to 18/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained
spotless. A very long duration B1.3 X-ray event was observed at
18/0218Z. The possible source region of this event was from an area
of surging on the east limb between N13 and N27 as observed in
GOES-14 SXI imagery.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels. A slight chance for C-class activity exists as
the new area of interest on the NE limb rotates onto the disk.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet at all latitudes.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be quiet on days one and two (19 - 20 April). Activity
is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated
active periods, on day three (21 April) as two coronal hole wind
streams rotate into a geoeffective position. These coronal holes
are currently located, one each, in the NE and SE quadrants of the
disk and generally lie along a similar longitudinal line.
III. Event Probabilities 19 Apr-21 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 Apr 075
Predicted 19 Apr-21 Apr 078/079/080
90 Day Mean 18 Apr 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Apr 001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Apr 002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Apr-21 Apr 005/005-005/005-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Apr-21 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/25
Minor storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/35
Minor storm 01/01/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Thank you for using the Product Subscription Service. If you would like
to remove a product subscription or update the personal information in
your account, go to: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov. Please do not use the from
address for correspondence, as it is not monitored. For comments or help,
please contact us: pss.help@noaa.gov.
----boundary_282805_43965230-9ab2-46dd-a21a-a73a9c3e9332
Content-Type: text/html
Content-Transfer-Encoding: base64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----boundary_282805_43965230-9ab2-46dd-a21a-a73a9c3e9332--
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |